Houston Rockets vs. Miami Heat odds, tips and betting trends

Houston Rockets vs. Miami Heat odds, tips and betting trends | 2/28/2026

The Houston Rockets (37-21) will try to continue a three-game winning stretch when they visit the Miami Heat (31-29) at 3:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 28, 2026 at Kaseya Center. The game airs on Amazon Prime Video and SCHN.

The Rockets are a 3-point favorite against the Heat when Rockets and Heat square off. The matchup features an over/under of 223.5.

Rockets vs. Heat betting odds

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Friday at 7:30 p.m. ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Spread: Houston -3Total: 223.5Moneyline: Houston -162, Miami +136Watch this game on Prime Video!Rockets at Heat odds, spread, & morePredictionPick ATS: Heat (+ 3)Pick OU: Over (223.5)Prediction: Rockets 116 – Heat 115MoneylineThe Rockets have gone 34-18 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 65.4% of those games).Houston has gone 29-14 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -162 or shorter (winning 67.4%).Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Rockets’ implied win probability is 61.8%.The Heat have entered the game as underdogs 30 times this season and won 13, or 43.3%, of those games.This season, Miami has won seven of its 19 games, or 36.8%, when it is the underdog by at least +136 on the moneyline.The moneyline for this contest implies a 42.4% chance of a victory for the Heat.Against the spreadThe Rockets put up only 2.5 fewer points per game (114.7) than the Heat allow (117.2).Houston has a 14-9 record against the spread and a 17-6 record overall when putting up more than 117.2 points.Miami has put together a 32-18 ATS record and a 28-20 overall record in games it scores more than 109.1 points.Houston is 25-23 against the spread and 36-12 overall when it allows fewer than 119.9 points.The Rockets are the league’s 20th-ranked scoring team (114.7 PPG), while the Heat allow the rank 20th in points per game (117.2) in NBA play.The second-ranked scoring NBA team (119.9 PPG) is Miami, while the Houston squad ranks third in the league defensively (109.1 PPG).The Rockets have out-scored their opponents by a total of 324 points this season (5.6 points per game on average), and the Heat have put up 164 more points than their opponents on the year (2.7 per game).Over/UnderHouston’s average implied point total this season is 3.4 more points than its implied total in Saturday’s game (116.4 implied points on average compared to 113 implied points in this game).This season, Houston has scored more than 113 points in a game 31 times.The average implied point total on the season for Miami (121.2) is 11.2 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (110).How to watch Rockets vs. HeatGame day: Saturday, February 28, 2026Game time: 3:30 p.m. ETLocation: Miami, FloridaArena: Kaseya CenterTV channel: Amazon Prime Video, SCHNLive stream: Watch this game on Prime VideoWatch this game on Prime Video!

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