Total Points: Patrick Ngongba II (DUKE) Over 10.5 (-130)
Duke’s frontcourt should be in a strong position to produce against NC State, and that includes center Patrick Ngongba II alongside Cameron Boozer. The Wolfpack have struggled defensively, particularly in protecting the paint, which opens the door for efficient interior scorers to thrive.
Ngongba enters this matchup averaging 10.7 points per game while shooting an impressive 60% from the field. His scoring profile is built on high-percentage looks around the rim, and he has been especially consistent lately.
He has scored at least 11 points in four straight games, clearing this number with steady efficiency. During that stretch, Ngongba has shot better than 50% in each contest, reinforcing his reliability as a physical paint presence who doesn’t need heavy volume to reach double figures.
My God, Ngongba is a bully and he knows it. pic.twitter.com/cg6gWFWKs9
— Duke Basketball (@DukeManiacs) February 17, 2026
With NC State allowing 75.1 points per game and lacking a strong interior defensive presence, Ngongba should have ample opportunity to finish inside. At 10.5 points, the over presents solid value and stands out as one of the stronger college basketball prop bets tonight.