Miami HeatMarch will be a pivotal month for the Miami Heat, who have just 21 games left. (Mandatory Credit: Issac Baldizon/NBAE via Getty Images)

There are officially fewer than six weeks left in the 2025-26 regular season, where the Miami Heat have just 21 games left. Miami is still two games back of the Philadelphia 76ers for the sixth-and-final postseason slot, hoping to avoid its fourth-straight play-in. As we enter the final full month of the regular season, what are five games that could decide the Heat’s fate? Let’s examine!

March 6 @ Hornets:

Skinny: This is one of two road games against Charlotte this month. Miami must take care of business against the young-and-fun Hornets, led by LaMelo Ball, rookie sharpshooter guard Kon Knueppel and Brandon Miller, who are just two games back of them in the standings. If we’re being honest, the Hornets are better than Miami right now. That’s not a high bar, though the Hornets’ record — 29-31 — doesn’t quite indicate that. If Miami wants to prove any naysayers (including myself) wrong, this will be an important game for play-in seeding.

March 12 vs. Bucks:

Skinny: The Giannis-less Bucks threw up 39 points en route to an 11-point win over Miami last week. They aren’t tanking (they’re just bad), but that can’t happen again — Giannis or no Giannis.

March 14 vs. Magic:

Skinny: Sweeping a four-game season series is hard enough. Well, the Magic have already accomplished that … except they have an opportunity to beat Miami a fifth time. Both are incredibly mediocre. But Orlando remains a 0.5 game up on the Heat, who have bested them in seven of their last eight meetings. Can the Heat overcome their intrastate rival in their season-finale?

March 25 @ Cavaliers:

Skinny: This will mark the first of two-straight against Cleveland. This game will also be the first of a three-game road trip, thus making this game more meaningful. The Cavs are currently beat up, but this would be a good game for Miami to build some momentum heading into the final couple of weeks to end the season.

March 30 @ 76ers:

Skinny: Ah, yes, the March finale! Miami fell further behind the 8-ball with its seven-point loss to Philadelphia last week. Well, it gets one more crack at its East foe with the possibility of cracking the top-6 in the East, depending on how the rest of the month goes.

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