The Golden State Warriors (31-30) are 8.5-point underdogs against the Houston Rockets (38-22) at Toyota Center on Thursday, March 5, 2026. The game starts at 7:30 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video and NBCS-BA.

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Rockets vs. Warriors Predictions for Thursday

Our computer projection model for this matchup predicts a final score of Rockets 117, Warriors 110.

Moneyline Pick: Rockets (-340)
Total Pick: Over 214.5 (computer predicts 226.7 points)
Pick ATS: Warriors (+8.5)
Recent Rockets vs. Warriors Matchups

Rockets 2025-26 Betting Trends

Houston’s ATS record is 27-33-0 this season.
The Rockets have an 8-16 record against the spread when favored by 8.5 points or more this season.
Houston has gone over in 26 of its 61 games with a set total (42.6%).
The Rockets have been favorites in 54 games this season and won 35 (64.8%) of those contests.
This season, Houston has won 16 of its 20 games, or 80%, when favored by at least -340 on the moneyline.
Warriors 2025-26 Betting Trends

Golden State is 27-34-0 ATS this year.
When they have played as at least 8.5-point underdogs this season, the Warriors are 1-4 against the spread.
Golden State’s games have hit the over 35 out of 61 times (57.4%).
The Warriors have gone 7-13 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 35% of those games).
Golden State has gone 1-4 in games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +272 or longer (20%).

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Rockets vs. Warriors Injury Report

Rockets

Rockets:

Fred VanVleet: Out For Season (Acl),

Steven Adams: Out For Season (Ankle),

Jae’Sean Tate: Out (Knee)

Warriors

Warriors:

Jimmy Butler: Out For Season (Knee),

Stephen Curry: Out (Knee),

Kristaps Porzingis: Out (Illness),

Gary Payton II: Questionable (Ankle),

Moses Moody: Out (Wrist),

Seth Curry: Out (Back),

Will Richard: Out (Ankle)

Rockets vs. Warriors Game Time and TV Channel

Game day: Thursday, March 5, 2026
Game time: 7:30 p.m. ET
TV channel: Amazon Prime Video and NBCS-BA
Location: Houston, Texas
Arena: Toyota Center

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