Charlotte Hornets vs. Miami Heat odds, tips and betting trends | 3/6/2026
Data Skrive
March 6, 2026, 3:29 a.m. ET

Two hot squads hit the court when the Charlotte Hornets (32-31) host the Miami Heat (34-29) on Friday, March 6, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET. The Hornets are putting their six-game winning streak on the line versus the Heat, who have won three in a row.
The Hornets enter their matchup against the Heat as a 6.5-point favorite. The matchup features an over/under of 230.5.
Hornets vs. Heat betting odds
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Friday at 3:30 a.m. ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.
Spread: Charlotte -6.5Total: 230.5Moneyline: Charlotte -252, Miami +208Watch the NBA on Fubo!Heat at Hornets odds, spread, & morePredictionPick ATS: Heat (+ 6.5)Pick OU: Over (230.5)Prediction: Hornets 118 – Heat 114MoneylineThe Hornets have won 84.2% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (16-3).Charlotte has won all eight games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -252 or shorter.The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Hornets a 71.6% chance to win.This season, the Heat have won 14 out of the 31 games, or 45.2%, in which they’ve been the underdog.Miami has a record of 3-5 when it is set as the underdog by +208 or more by bookmakers this season.The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 32.5% chance of a victory for the Heat.Against the spreadThe Hornets score just 0.5 fewer points per game (116.1) than the Heat allow (116.6).When Charlotte totals more than 116.6 points, it is 24-6 against the spread and 22-8 overall.When it scores more than 112.3 points, Miami is 32-13 against the spread and 29-14 overall.Charlotte is 35-9-1 against the spread and 30-15 overall when it allows fewer than 120 points.The Hornets are the NBA’s 11th-ranked scoring team (116.1 PPG), while the Heat rank 20th in points per game allowed (116.6) in the league.Miami’s squad is currently the second-ranked scoring team in the NBA (120 PPG), while Charlotte’s team is 10th in points allowed per game (112.3).The Hornets have scored a total of 240 more points than their opponents this year (an average of 3.8 per game), and the Heat have out-scored opponents by 216 points on the season (3.4 more per game).Over/UnderThe average implied total for Charlotte this year is 119.2 points, 0.2 more points than its implied total of 119 points in Friday’s game.So far this season, Charlotte has put up more than 119 points 25 times.The average implied point total on the season for Miami (121) is nine more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (112).How to watch Hornets vs. HeatGame day: Friday, March 6, 2026Game time: 7 p.m. ETLocation: Charlotte, North CarolinaArena: Spectrum CenterTV channel: FDSSUN, FDSSEWatch the NBA on Fubo!
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