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The Heat will try to complete a two-game home-and-more sweep when they host the Brooklyn Nets on Thursday night.
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Miami easily covered on Tuesday and should have an even easier time at home tonight, which is why I’m taking it to cover in my Nets vs. Heat predictions.
Let’s take a closer look at how bettors can approach tonight’s matchup in my free NBA picks for Thursday, March 5.
Nets vs Heat prediction
Nets vs Heat best bet: Heat -13 (-115)
The Brooklyn Nets came into Tuesday’s matchup with the Miami Heat off one of their best recent performances, having covered in a 106-102 loss to the Cavaliers. But Brooklyn laid another egg at home against Miami, losing by 26.
There’s no reason to expect anything different in Miami tonight. The Heat have covered in five of their last seven games, including twice as a double-digit favorite.
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Brooklyn rank as the league’s worst offensive team, averaging just 106.8 points per game, and those struggles are likely to continue tonight against a high-powered Miami offense putting up 119.9 points per game.
Nets vs Heat same-game parlay
Along with taking the Heat to win big again – a leg I’m taking in all my parlays tonight – I’ll also pick Bam Adebayo to get Over 20.5 points, a target he’s hit in each of his last three games.
Let’s round out the SGP with a bet on Andrew Wiggins to get Over 2.5 assists, a target he’s surpassed in four of his last five contests.
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Nets vs Heat SGP
Bam Adebayo Over 20.5 points
Andrew Wiggins Over 2.5 assists
Our “from downtown” SGP: Buckets & Bam Bam
The Under has hit easily in each of the first two meetings between these teams this season, and I like it again for tonight’s matchup.
I’m also banking on Adebayo to fill up the box score: he’s hit this PRA total in each of his last three games, and is coming off a six-steal performance against the Nets on Tuesday.
Nets vs Heat SGP
Bam Adebayo Over 33.5 points + assists + rebounds
Bam Adebayo Over 1.5 steals + blocks
Nets vs Heat odds
Spread: Brooklyn +13 (-105) | Miami -13 (-115)
Moneyline: Brooklyn +550 | Miami -800
Over/Under: Over 227 (-110) | Under 227 (-110)
Nets vs Heat betting trend to know
The Nets are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games overall. Find more NBA betting trends for Nets vs. Heat.
How to watch Nets vs Heat
Location
Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
Date
Thursday, March 5, 2026
Tip-off
7:30 p.m. ET
TV
YES, FDSN Sun
Nets vs Heat latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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