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The “Battle of Texas” opens a new chapter on Sunday, March 8, when the Houston Rockets head to Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs.
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With so many star players in this matchup, our NBA player prop projections help find the best of the best.
For more NBA picks, read our complete Rockets vs. Spurs predictions!
Rockets vs Spurs computer picks for March 8
Rockets
Spurs
Eason o10.5 points
+100
Vassell o13.5 points
+100
Eason o6.5 reboundsÂ
+110
Fox o16.5 points
-115
Durant u25.5 points
-110
Wembanyama o1.5 points
-145
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Rockets computer picksTari Eason Over 10.5 points (+100)
Projection: 12.5 points
Tari Eason has failed to cover this number in six straight, but before that, he scored 11+ in three of four outings. A 41% shooter on the season, Eason is due for positive regression after going 3-for-21 from deep over his last five.
Our prop projections call for the forward to go two whole points over his number tonight, and with this prop at plus money, it offers great value.
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Tari Eason Over 6.5 rebounds (+110)
Projection: 7.1 points
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Eason has fallen just short of this line in his last three outings, but he gobbled up 19 rebounds in the two games prior. Both these teams also play stout defense, which will offer up plenty of rebounding opportunities for the 24-year-old.
The +110 price tag makes this play even better.
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Kevin Durant Under 25.5 points (-110)
Projection: 24.1 points
Kevin Durant has failed to reach 26 points in back-to-back outings and five of his last seven. KD can still score with the best of them, but he’s no longer dominating night in and night out.
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The Spurs have the size and length to keep Durant in check, and even a good game from the future Hall of Famer can still cash this Under.
In four matchups against San Antonio this season, KD has finished Under this number each time.
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Spurs computer picksDevin Vassell Over 13.5 points (+100)
Projection: 14.8 points
Devin Vassell has turned into a reliable scorer for the Spurs, averaging nearly 15 points per game. Vassell had a rough shooting night in his last outing, but his 3-point volume makes this number enticing.
The young guard has put up five or more threes in seven straight, and he’s a near 39% 3-point shooter. Depending on how hot he gets, Vassell could cash this prop on threes alone.
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De’Aaron Fox Over 16.5 points (-115)
Projection: 17.9 points
De’Aaron Fox has been stupendous in San Antonio, and he’s cleared this point total in back-to-back outings. He sits second on the team in scoring with 18.8 PPG, and the last time these teams met, he scored 18. That’s right around where tonight’s projections sit.
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Victor Wembanyama Over 1.5 made threes (-105)
Projection: 2.0 made threes
Victor Wembanyama has splashed four threes in consecutive outings, taking 19 attempts in that span.
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Wemby is starting to turn up the volume from outside, and if he shoots that many again tonight, hitting two shouldn’t be an issue.
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How to watch Rockets vs Spurs tonight
Location
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX
Date
Sunday, March 8, 2026
Tip-off
8:00 p.m. ET
TV
Peacock
Not intended for use in MA.
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