March 9, 2026, 10:26 p.m. ET
The Washington Wizards (16-47) and Miami Heat (36-29) meet Tuesday at 7:30 p.m. ET at the Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Wizards vs. Heat odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Heat lead 1-0, a 132-101 road win on Feb. 8
The Wizards lost to the New Orleans Pelicans 138-118 Sunday, failing to cover as an 11.5-point road underdog with the Over (244.5) clearing with ease. Washington has come up short in 8 straight games and is 2-6 against the spread (ATS) in those. It is 26-37 ATS on the season.
The Heat ripped off their fifth straight victory Sunday, edging the Detroit Pistons 121-110 at home. They covered as a 1.5-point underdog with the Under (231.5) hitting. Miami has covered in each of the ast 5 wins and is 39-25-1 ATS this season.
Watch the NBA on Fubo!Wizards at Heat odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday 10:14 p.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Wizards +750 (bet $100 to win $750) | Heat -1200 (bet $1,200 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Wizards +16.5 (-105) | Heat -16.5 (-115)Over/Under (O/U): 243.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)Wizards at Heat key injuries
Wizards
F Anthony Davis (finger) outG Kyshawn George (elbow) outG D’Angelo Russell (not with team) outG Jamir Watkins (foot) out
Heat
G Simone Fontecchio (groin) probableF Nikola Jovic (back) outG/F Norman Powell (groin) outC Kel’el Ware (shoulder) questionableF Andrew Wiggins (knee) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Wizards at Heat picks and predictionsPrediction
Heat 127, Wizards 110
PASS.
Avoid this play. The Heat (1200) should win with ease, but they are far, far too expensive to consider.
BET HEAT -16.5 (-115).
The Heat have been surging, and their offense has found a real groove. They have scored at least 121 points in 4 straight games, while allowing 110 points or fewer in 4 straight home performances.
The Wizards are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a double-digit underdog. They are in full tanking mode and should struggle to compete. They’ve lost 5 straight road games by this amount.
BET UNDER 243.5 (-105).
This is just too lofty a total to consider. The Wizards have scored 112 points or fewer in 5 of their previous 8 contests, so they may struggle to score enough to aid this total.
Miami has carried its weight offensively yet is still just 2-3 O/U in its previous 5 games because of how well it has defended. Expect that to continue at home.
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