Miami Heat vs. Washington Wizards odds, tips and betting trends | 3/10/2026

Data Skrive

March 9, 2026Updated March 10, 2026, 3:30 a.m. ET

Mar 8, 2026; New Orleans, Louisiana, USA; Washington Wizards guard Bub Carrington (7) reacts after a three-point basket during the first half against the New Orleans Pelicans at Smoothie King Center.

The Miami Heat (36-29) will look to build on a five-game winning stretch when hosting the Washington Wizards (16-47) on Tuesday, March 10, 2026 at Kaseya Center. This matchup is at 7:30 p.m. ET on FDSSUN and MNMT.

The Heat enter their matchup against the Wizards as huge favorites. The Heat are favored by 15.5 points. The matchup’s over/under is set at 242.5.

Heat vs. Wizards betting odds

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Tuesday at 3:30 a.m. ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Spread: Miami -15.5Total: 242.5Moneyline: Miami -1031, Washington +657Watch the NBA on Fubo!Wizards at Heat odds, spread, & morePredictionPick ATS: Heat (- 15.5)Pick OU: Under (242.5)Prediction: Heat 127 – Wizards 109MoneylineThe Heat have a 20-12 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 62.5% of those games).Miami has not yet played as a moneyline favorite of -1031 or shorter.Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Heat’s implied win probability is 91.2%.This season, the Wizards have won 14 out of the 58 games, or 24.1%, in which they’ve been the underdog.Washington has a record of 1-10, a 9.1% win rate, when it is set as the underdog by +657 or more by bookmakers this season.The Wizards have a 13.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.Against the spreadThe 120.1 points per game the Heat put up are just 3.2 fewer points than the Wizards allow (123.3).Miami is 24-3 against the spread and 22-4 overall when scoring more than 123.3 points.Washington is 14-3 against the spread and 9-8 overall when it scores more than 116.5 points.Miami’s record is 20-4-1 against the spread and 19-5 overall when it allows fewer than 112.3 points.The Heat are the NBA’s second-ranked scoring team (120.1 PPG), while the Wizards rank 29th in points per game allowed (123.3) in the league.Washington is the NBA’s 25th-ranked offense (112.3 PPG), while Miami is the 19th-ranked defense (116.5).The Heat have totaled 235 more points than their opponents this season (3.6 per game on average), while the Wizards have been out-scored by 691 total points (11 per game average differential).Over/UnderMiami has an average implied point total of 120.9 this year, which is 8.1 points lower than its implied total in Tuesday’s game (129).So far this season, Miami has scored more than 129 points 15 times.Washington’s average implied point total on the season (122.1 points) is 8.1 points higher than its implied total in this matchup (114 points).How to watch Heat vs. WizardsGame day: Tuesday, March 10, 2026Game time: 7:30 p.m. ETLocation: Miami, FloridaArena: Kaseya CenterTV channel: FDSSUN, MNMTWatch the NBA on Fubo!

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