March 13, 2026, 11:20 a.m. ET

The Cleveland Cavaliers (40-26) and Dallas Mavericks (22-44) meet Friday at American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas, at 7:30 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Cavaliers vs. Mavericks and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Cavaliers won 2-0 last season

Cleveland covered the spread in both games between these teams last season, winning the two games by a combined 55 points. The most recent was a 144-101 win in Cleveland, with the Cavs easily covering the 15.5-point spread. Cleveland C Evan Mobley posted a combined 56 points, 21 rebounds and 6 blocks in the two games. The Over hit in both games, as well.

Cleveland is coming off a 128-122 road loss to the Orlando Magic on Wednesday, failing to cover as 3-point favorites. G James Harden led the Cavaliers with 30 points and 8 assists as the Over (226.5) cashed.

The Mavericks beat the Memphis Grizzlies 120-112 on Thursday, covering as 5.5-point road underdogs. F Khris Middleton led Dallas with 35 points off the bench as the Under (238.5) hit.

Watch the NBA on Fubo!Cavaliers at Mavericks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 10:16 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Cavaliers -750 (bet $750 to win $100) | Mavericks +525 (bet $100 to win $525)Against the spread (ATS): Cavaliers -13.5 (-110) | Mavericks +13.5 (-110)Over/Under (O/U): 236.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)Cavaliers at Mavericks key injuries

Cavaliers

C Jarrett Allen (knee) outG Tyrese Proctor (quadriceps) outG Max Strus (foot) out

Mavericks

(Not yet submitted — below was for Thursday’s game)

G Klay Thompson (rest) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Cavaliers at Mavericks picks and predictionsPrediction

Cavaliers 122, Mavericks 108

AVOID.

The Mavericks are coming off a win, but lost 8 in a row previous to that. Although I like the Cavaliers to win comfortably, they are 5-5 over their last 10 games, making it too risky to bet such a steep moneyline.

AVOID.

The Mavericks are 3-6 ATS across their last 9 games while the Cavaliers are 3-5-1. With neither team being very consistent in this department as of late, I’m avoiding here, as well.

BET UNDER 236.5 (-105).

The Cavaliers have hit the Under in 4 of their last 5 games while Dallas has gone below the total in 8 straight games. Cleveland is averaging 118.8 points per game this season while the Mavericks average 113.1, which doesn’t even get us to 232 total.

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