March 14, 2026, 11:06 p.m. ET
The Minnesota Timberwolves (41-26) and Oklahoma City Thunder (52-15) meet Sunday at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. Tip-off is at 1 p.m. ET (ABC). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Timberwolves vs. Thunder odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Timberwolves lead 2-1
The Timberwolves beat the Golden State Warriors 127-117 Friday, covering as a 5.5-point road favorite with the Over (222.5) cashing. Minnesota snapped a 3-game losing streak with the victory and is just 1-3 against the spread (ATS) in its last 4 contests. It is 28-39 ATS on the season.
The Thunder edged the Boston Celtics 104-102 Thursday, failing to cover as a 9-point home favorite as the Under (216.5) hit. Oklahoma City has ripped off 7 straight victories, but it is 0-7 ATS in those, often as a lofty favorite. The Thunder are 31-35-1 ATS this season.
Oklahoma City won the first meeting betwen the teams 113-105 Nov. 26 at home, but the T-wolves won the next 2 games in Minnesota — 112-107 Dec. 19 and 123-111 Jan. 29
Watch the NBA on Fubo!Timberwolves at Thunder odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:56 p.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Timberwolves +325 (bet $100 to win $325) | Thunder -425 (bet $425 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves +9.5 (-118) | Thunder -9.5 (-102)Over/Under (O/U): 226.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)Timberwolves at Thunder key injuries
Timberwolves
F Anthony Edwards (knee) questionable
Thunder
C Isaiah Hartenstein (calf) questionableG Jalen Williams (hamstring) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Timberwolves at Thunder picks and predictionsPrediction
Thunder 114, Timberwolves 108
PASS.
Avoid this play. The Thunder (-425) are 28-6 at home and should come out on top, yet they aren’t worth more than 4 times your money.
BET TIMBERWOLVES +9.5 (-118).
The Timberwolves are surging. Since Feb. 9, Minnesota is 9-4 straight up, has gone 1-1 ATS as an underdog, and is 2-2 ATS in its last 4 road games.
OKC has played well, but as noted above it hasn’t been winning by a sizable margin. The Thunder are just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games when favored and have failed to cover in 4 straight home games.
BET UNDER 226.5 (-115).
Both teams are trending toward the Under here. The Timberwolves are 2-6 O/U in their previous 8 games and 2-3 O/U in their last 5 road games.
The Thunder, who have scored fewer than 105 points in 3 of their last 4 games, are 1-5 O/U in their past 6 contests. They’ve allowed 102 points or fewer in 4 of their last 6 games.
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