March 14, 2026, 11:27 p.m. ET

The Dallas Mavericks (22-45) and Cleveland Cavaliers (41-26) meet Sunday at Rocket Arena in Cleveland, Ohio. Tip-off is at 3:30 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Mavericks vs. Cavaliers odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cavaliers lead 1-0

The Mavericks lost to the Cavaliers 138-105 Friday in the first game of the home-and-home set. Cleveland covered as a 13.5-point road favorite with the Over (236.5) cashing. Cavs F Evan Mobley led all scorers with 29 points on 12-for-15 shooting.

Dallas has struggled tremendously and is in tank mode. It is just 1-9 over its last 10 games and is 3-7 against the spread (ATS) in those contests. The Mavericks are 29-38 ATS on the season.

Cleveland has traded off winning and losing over its last 5 games and is 2-2-1 ATS in those. It hasn’t covered in 2 straight games since the All-Star break. The Cavaliers are 28-38-1 ATS this season.

Watch the NBA on Fubo!Mavericks at Cavaliers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:10 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mavericks +850 (bet $100 to win $850) | Cavaliers -1600 (bet $1,600 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +17.5 (-115) | Cavaliers -17.5 (-105)Over/Under (O/U): 237.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)Mavericks at Cavaliers key injuries

Mavericks

C Daniel Gafford (illness) doubtfulG Kyrie Irving (knee) outC Dereck Lively II (foot) outF Caleb Martin (finger) probableG Klay Thompson (rest) doubtfulF P.J. Washington (ankle) questionable

Cavaliers

C Jarrett Allen (knee) outF Sam Merrill (hamstring) outG Tyrese Proctor (quadriceps) outG Max Strus (foot) probableF Jaylon Tyson (ankle) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Mavericks at Cavaliers picks and predictionsPrediction

Cavaliers 126, Mavericks 106

PASS.

The Cavaliers (-1600) should win with ease, but they are way too expensive to consider at 16 times your potential return. Avoid this play entirely.

BET CAVALIERS -17.5 (-105).

The Cavaliers are 1-1-1 ATS in their previous 3 games when closing as a double-digit favorite, but over their last 2 contests, their offense has found its rhythm. Cleveland is averaging 130 points per game across its last 2 battles, so it should be able to score enough to cover. They just beat the Mavericks by 33 points Friday.

The Mavericks have scored 105 points or fewer in 3 of their previous 5 games, and they’ve failed to cover in their last 5 games when a double-digit underdog. In full tank mode, Dallas likely won’t be able to keep this game remotely close.

BET UNDER 237.5 (-105).

Both teams are trending toward the Under here. The Cavaliers, who have held 5 of their last 6 foes to under 110 points, are 2-4 O/U across their last 6 games.

The Mavericks have been even more lopsided towards the Under. They are 1-8 O/U in their previous 9 games and have scored 105 points or fewer in 6 of those.

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