Charlotte Hornets vs. Miami Heat odds, tips and betting trends | 3/17/2026

Data Skrive

March 16, 2026Updated March 17, 2026, 3:30 a.m. ET

Mar 14, 2026; Miami, Florida, USA; Orlando Magic forward Tristan da Silva (23) drives to the basket as Miami Heat center Bam Adebayo (13) defends during the first half at Kaseya Center.

Southeast Division opponents meet when the Charlotte Hornets (34-34) welcome in the Miami Heat (38-30) at Spectrum Center, beginning at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, March 17, 2026. It’s the fourth matchup between the squads this season.

The Hornets are a 3.5-point favorite against the Heat when Hornets and Heat play. The matchup’s point total is set at 233.5.

Hornets vs. Heat betting odds

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Tuesday at 3:30 a.m. ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Spread: Charlotte -3.5Total: 233.5Moneyline: Charlotte -166, Miami +139Watch the NBA on Fubo!Heat at Hornets odds, spread, & morePredictionPick ATS: Heat (+ 3.5)Pick OU: Under (233.5)Prediction: Hornets 117 – Heat 115MoneylineThe Hornets have been the moneyline favorite 23 total times this season. They’ve finished 18-5 in those games.When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -166 or shorter, Charlotte has gone 11-4 (73.3% win percentage).Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Hornets’ implied win probability is 62.4%.The Heat have won 16, or 48.5%, of the 33 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.This season, Miami has won six of its 18 games, or 33.3%, when it is the underdog by at least +139 on the moneyline.Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Heat have a 41.8% chance to win.Against the spreadThe Hornets record only 1.1 fewer points per game (115.5) than the Heat give up (116.6).Charlotte has a 24-8 record against the spread and a 23-9 record overall when putting up more than 116.6 points.When it scores more than 112.3 points, Miami is 35-14 against the spread and 32-15 overall.Charlotte’s record is 35-13-1 against the spread and 32-17 overall when it allows fewer than 120.4 points.The Hornets are the NBA’s 17th-ranked scoring team (115.5 PPG), while the Heat rank 19th in points per game allowed (116.6) in the league.Miami is the NBA’s second-ranked offense (120.4 PPG), while Charlotte is the ninth-ranked defense (112.3).The Hornets have scored a total of 217 more points than their opponents this year (an average of 3.2 per game), and the Heat have out-scored opponents by 259 points on the season (3.8 more per game).Over/UnderCharlotte’s average implied point total this season is the same as its implied total for Tuesday’s game (119 points).So far this season, Charlotte has scored more than 119 points in 26 games.Miami’s average implied point total on the year (121 points) is six points higher than its implied total in this matchup (115 points).How to watch Hornets vs. HeatGame day: Tuesday, March 17, 2026Game time: 7 p.m. ETLocation: Charlotte, North CarolinaArena: Spectrum CenterTV channel: FDSSUN, FDSSEWatch the NBA on Fubo!

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