March 23, 2026, 11:32 a.m. ET

The Memphis Grizzlies (24-46) take on the Atlanta Hawks (39-32) from State Farm Arena on Monday. Tip-off in Atlanta, Georgia, is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze NBA odds around the Grizzlies vs. Hawks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Hawks lead 1-0

Memphis was routed 124-101 by the Charlotte Hornets on Saturday, failing to cover as an 18.5-point road underdog with the Under (233.5) hitting. The Grizzlies were dominated 49-34 on the glass. The Grizzlies are in 12th place in the Western Conference, tied with New Orleans at 8.5 games behind the Golden State for 10th place and the final spot in the Play-In Tournament.

Atlanta embarrassed those Golden State Warriors 126-110 Saturday to cover as a 7.5-point home favorite with the Over (228.5) cashing. G Dyson Daniels scored 28 points to go with 7 rebounds, 6 assists and 4 steals to lead the Hawks to the win. Atlanta sits in sixth place in the Eastern Conference, tied with the Philadelphia 76ers and sitting just half a game behind the Raptors for fifth.

The Hawks escaped with a 124-122 win over Memphis back on Jan. 21, covering as 1-point road underdogs as the Over (239.5) hit. F Jalen Johnson went off for 32 points, 15 boards, and 8 assists in the win. The Grizzlies turned the ball over 18 times in the loss.

Watch the NBA on Fubo!Grizzlies at Hawks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 11:25 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Grizzlies +625 (bet $100 to win $625) | Hawks -1000 (bet $1,000 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies +13.5 (-105) | Hawks -13.5 (-115)Over/Under (O/U): 240.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Grizzlies at Hawks key injuries

Grizzlies

F Santi Aldama (knee) outG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (finger) outC Brandon Clarke (calf) outF Cedric Coward (personal) outC Zach Edey (ankle) outF Taj Gibson (foot) questionableG Ja Morant (elbow) outG Scotty Pippen Jr. (toe) outG Cam Spencer (back) doubtful

Hawks

F Jalen Johnson (shoulder) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Grizzlies at Hawks picks and predictionsPrediction

Hawks 130, Grizzlies 115

PASS.

The Hawks have been far better than Memphis recently, especially given Memphis’ laundry list of injuries. So, Atlanta will have no problem covering as -1000 favorites here. However, no team favored so heavily is worth backing on the ML, so pass here and bet on the spread and/or total instead.

LEAN HAWKS -13.5 (-115).

Atlanta has covered the spread in 8 of its last 10 games overall and in all of its last 3 home games. The Grizzlies, on the other hand, are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Hawks have also covered ATS in 3 of their last 4 matchups against Memphis.

The Grizzlies organization is trying to lose, and given all of the team’s injuries, the odds are slim that Memphis would be able to keep this one close.

This is a LEAN because Atlanta, while better than Memphis, isn’t so good that winning by 15 points is a foregone conclusion.

BET OVER 240.5 (-110).

The Over has hit in 6 of Atlanta’s last 10 games, including 2 straight home games. For Memphis, the Over is 3-2 in its last 5 road games. In the last 10 matchups between these squads, the Over has hit 7 times, including in each of the last 3 matchups.

Be aware that this is a very high O/U number, so there is a chance that Memphis’ offense has too many injuries to reach the Over for this matchup.

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