The Pistons are -4.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
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The New Orleans Pelicans visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Detroit, MI.
The Pistons are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).
The Pelicans vs Pistons Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 43-29 against the spread, while the Pistons are 37-35 against the spread.
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Pelicans vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
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Pistons vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Pistons will win Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Pistons.
Pistons vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 56.2% confidence.
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Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:
The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games (+11.90 Units / 28% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 16 games (+10.80 Units / 61% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2H Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+9.10 Units / 65% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 2H Spread in 31 of their last 50 games (+8.99 Units / 16% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games (+8.55 Units / 15% ROI)
Pistons Best Bets for Tonight:
The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 45 games at home (+17.55 Units / 22% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games (+13.25 Units / 26% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2H Moneyline in 18 of their last 22 games (+11.54 Units / 26% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have covered the 2Q Spread in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+10.65 Units / 21% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 35 of their last 50 games (+9.15 Units / 7% ROI)
New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 43-29 (+11.1 Units / 13.82% ROI).
25-48 against the Moneyline (-13.15 Units / -14.47% ROI)
36-37 against the Over for game total points (-4.7 Units / -5.85% ROI)
37-36 against the Under for game total points (-2.6 Units / -3.24% ROI)
Detroit Pistons Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 37-35 (-1.45 Units / -1.83% ROI).
52-20 against the Moneyline (+7.2 Units / 2.96% ROI)
32-39 against the Over for game total points (-10.9 Units / -13.76% ROI)
39-32 against the Under for game total points (+3.8 Units / 4.8% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pistons:
The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 45 games (-19.70 Units / -38% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 45 games at home (-16.45 Units / -20% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 1Q Spread in 17 of their last 45 games at home (-15.45 Units / -30% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games at home (-14.10 Units / -25% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 45 games at home (-13.20 Units / -26% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:
The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 4Q Spread in 16 of their last 45 games (-18.10 Units / -35% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.65 Units / -25% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 40 games (-11.96 Units / -26% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 45 games (-10.85 Units / -21% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 50 games (-10.75 Units / -18% ROI)
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New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons
The Pelicans are 1-11 (.083) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .401
The Pelicans are 1-17 (.056) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .300
The Pelicans are 14-29 (.326) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .559
The Pelicans were 2-10 (.167) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545
Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans
The Pistons were 4-31 (.114) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431
The Pistons were 4-21 (.160) when attempting 25 or more free throws in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Pistons were 2-38 (.050) when losing the rebounding margin in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .357
The Pistons were 5-33 (.132) when allowing 15 or more second chance points in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .448
New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have averaged 60.6 points in the paint per game (2,302 points/38 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.8
The Pelicans have averaged 29.6 points in the paint per game (2,162 points/73 games) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.1
The Pelicans have averaged 57.2 points in the paint per game (4,178 points/73 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.6
The Pelicans are shooting 33% from three (408/1,221) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pistons averaged 10.4 fast break points per game (850 points/82 games) in the first half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Pistons have averaged 30.7 points in the paint per game (2,180 points/71 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.1
The Pistons have made 10.8 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3
The Pistons made 11.0 three-pointers per game in the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8
New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans averaged 8.3 steals per game (684 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Pelicans averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,746 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Pelicans have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (8,172 rebounds/237 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1
The Pelicans stole the ball 701 times last season — 8th most among NBA teams
Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pistons have averaged 10.4 steals per game (740 steals/71 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
The Pistons have averaged 6.3 blocks per game (447 blocks/71 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Pistons averaged 6.5 steals per game (531 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Pistons have 740 steals this season — most among NBA teams
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