The Celtics are -4.5 favorites vs. the Hawks
Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
Watch the game on NBSB | FDSE
The Atlanta Hawks visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm in Boston, MA.
The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-118).
The Hawks vs Celtics Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Hawks are 40-33 against the spread, while the Celtics are 41-31 against the spread.
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Hawks vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineAtlanta Hawks+4.5 -102O 226.5 -110+170Boston Celtics -4.5 -118U 226.5 -110-210
Celtics vs Hawks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Friday‘s game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Hawks and Celtics.
Celtics vs Hawks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 61.4% confidence.
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Hawks Best Bets for Tonight:
The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 games (+14.75 Units / 16% ROI)
The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 games (+13.95 Units / 19% ROI)
The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 games (+13.36 Units / 24% ROI)
The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 24 games (+11.10 Units / 40% ROI)
The Atlanta Hawks have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 15 games (+10.80 Units / 65% ROI)
Celtics Best Bets for Tonight:
The Boston Celtics have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 45 games (+17.70 Units / 36% ROI)
The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 40 games (+14.45 Units / 14% ROI)
The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.60 Units / 20% ROI)
The Boston Celtics have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 20 games at home (+11.38 Units / 50% ROI)
The Boston Celtics have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games (+10.75 Units / 21% ROI)
Atlanta Hawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 40-33 (+3.75 Units / 4.67% ROI).
41-32 against the Moneyline (+6.65 Units / 4.52% ROI)
37-36 against the Over for game total points (-2.6 Units / -3.24% ROI)
36-37 against the Under for game total points (-4.7 Units / -5.85% ROI)
Boston Celtics Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 41-31 (+6.9 Units / 8.71% ROI).
48-24 against the Moneyline (+0.15 Units / 0.06% ROI)
26-46 against the Over for game total points (-24.6 Units / -31.06% ROI)
46-26 against the Under for game total points (+17.4 Units / 21.97% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Celtics:
The Boston Celtics have only hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 45 games (-22.20 Units / -45% ROI)
The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 19 of their last 40 games at home (-20.58 Units / -24% ROI)
The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games (-19.10 Units / -33% ROI)
The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 45 games (-17.45 Units / -34% ROI)
The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-17.09 Units / -29% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Hawks:
The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 40 games (-16.00 Units / -34% ROI)
The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 50 games (-13.95 Units / -25% ROI)
The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 40 games (-13.55 Units / -30% ROI)
The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 35 away games (-11.95 Units / -28% ROI)
The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 14 of their last 35 away games (-10.45 Units / -26% ROI)
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Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics
The Hawks are winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .373
The Hawks are 5-15 (.250) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .363
The Hawks were 7-15 (.318) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545
The Hawks are 15-9 (.625) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .443
Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks
The Celtics are 46-13 (.780) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .443
The Celtics are 55-11 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .618
The Celtics were 17-3 (.850) when attempting 15 or less free throws last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .420
The Celtics are undefeated (21-0) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .699
Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Hawks have averaged 15.8 assists per game (1,157 assists/73 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7
The Hawks have averaged 30.5 assists per game (1,097 assists/36 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.4
The Hawks are shooting 42% from three (130/307) in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%
The Hawks have averaged 30.4 assists per game (2,219 assists/73 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7
Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends
The Celtics have made 16.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2
The Celtics have made 16.4 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0
The Celtics made 17.8 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5
The Celtics have averaged 12.3 turnovers per game (884 turnovers/72 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5
Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Hawks have allowed an eFG% of 48% in close and late situations this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 53%
The Hawks averaged 35.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,868 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Hawks have averaged 9.4 steals per game (689 steals/73 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
The Hawks have allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (909 points/749 shots) in close and late situations this season — tied for best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.32
Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends
The Celtics have averaged 7.2 steals per game (522 steals/72 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
The Celtics have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,618 rebounds/72 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9
The Celtics averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (3,005 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Celtics have allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (12,763 points/10,822 shots) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.26
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