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The Washington Wizards are in full-blown tank mode, while the injury-riddled Golden State Warriors are essentially locked into a spot within the Western Conference Play-In Tournament.

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Golden State’s shorthanded roster just lost Moses Moody, but my Wizards vs. Warriors predictions expect Gui Santos to pick up the slack on offense and keep the momentum going from his career-high scoring performance.

Here are my best free NBA picks for this cross-conference showdown on Friday, March 27.

Wizards vs Warriors predictionWizards vs Warriors best bet: Gui Santos Over 15.5 points (-112)

Already running low on quality scoring options, the Golden State Warriors suffered another devastating loss, as Moses Moody tore a ligament in his left knee. With Moody joining Steph Curry, Jimmy Butler and a number of role players on the sideline, someone else will need to step up on offense.

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Over his last 12 games, Gui Santos has averaged 16.5 points, going for 16+ seven times and exactly 15 points once more. Santos has scored at least 16 in two straight games, including his career-high 31-point eruption against the Nets on Wednesday.

Santos has averaged 14.5 points across 25 starts compared to just 4.7 points off the bench. He’s scored 16+ in 11 of 25 games as a starter, including six of 10 starts at home, where he’s averaged 16 points. He finished with 18 points against the Washington Wizards in his first matchup.

The Wizards own the NBA’s worst defensive rating at 120.7, and the team has surrendered the second-most points to opponents (124.1). The Wizards will offer no resistance, and I expect Santos to build on his career-best performance with at least 16 points. 

Wizards vs Warriors same-game parlay

Washington could be without Alex Sarr and Tristan Vukcevic tonight, leaving the Wizards vulnerable on the glass. Golden State doesn’t have an elite rebounder, and with Al Horford and Quinten Post out again, someone else will need to step up to grab boards.

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Santos has averaged 5.8 rebounds in 13 March games, grabbing 6+ six times.

The Wizards have hit the Over in eight of their last 10 games, and the Warriors have done so in seven of their last 10.

Over the last five games, Washington has surrendered 129.8 points per game, and Golden State has given up 121.8. In that span, both teams rank T-7 in pace, and there should be plenty of points tonight.

Wizards vs Warriors SGP

Gui Santos Over 15.5 points

Gui Santos Over 5.5 rebounds

Our “from downtown” SGP: Podz & Porzingis

Brandin Podziemski has averaged 16.5 points and 5.9 rebounds across his last eight games, leading his team in rebounds in that span. He’s scored 16+ four times in that span, including 20+ in two straight.

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Podz recorded 7+ rebounds twice, and exactly six rebounds three more times.

Kristaps Porzingis has only averaged 17.4 points and 4.7 rebounds over his last seven games, going for 6+ rebounds once and 19+ points thrice.

He may not see a ton of playing time, but he won’t need to be on the court too long to take advantage of a Wizards team surrendering the most rebounds and second-most points to opponents this season.

Wizards vs Warriors SGP

Brandin Podziemski Over 15.5 points

Kristaps Porzingis Over 18.5 points

Brandin Podziemski Over 6.5 rebounds

Kristaps Porzingis Over 5.5 rebounds

Wizards vs Warriors odds

Spread: Washington +14 (-110) | Golden State -14 (-110)

Moneyline: Washington +650 | Golden State -1000

Over/Under: Over 232.5 (-110) | Under 232.5 (-110)

Wizards vs Warriors betting trend to know

The Wizards have hit the Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.30 Units / 37% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Wizards vs. Warriors.

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How to watch Wizards vs Warriors

Location

Chase Center, San Francisco, CA

Date

Friday, March 27, 2026

Tip-off

10:00 p.m. ET

TV

Monumental SN, NBC Sports Bay Area

Wizards vs Warriors latest injuries

Not intended for use in MA.
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