March 28, 2026, 10:55 a.m. ET
The Sacramento Kings (19-55) face the Atlanta Hawks (41-33) from State Farm Arena on Saturday. Tip-off from Atlanta, Georgia, is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze NBA odds around the Kings vs. Hawks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Hawks lead 1-0
The Orlando Magic handed Sacramento a 121-117 loss Thursday, though the Kings covered as 15.5-point road underdogs with the Over (231.5) cashing. F DeMar DeRozan put up 33 points and 11 assists, but it wasn’t enough to overcome Sacramento hitting 15 fewer free throws than the Magic. The Kings have lost back-to-back games and have given up at least 121 points in 4 straight losses.
Atlanta suffered a 109-102 loss to the Boston Celtics on Friday while failing to cover as a 5-point road underdog with the Under (223.5) hitting. F Jalen Johnson finished with 29 points, 1 of 3 Hawks to score at least 20. However, the Hawks were dominated by 17 on the glass while also giving up 62 points between just 2 players in the loss.
The Hawks embarrassed the Kings in a 133-100 outing on Nov. 12 while covering as 4-point road favorites with the Over (230.5) hitting. Johnson led the Hawks with 24 points and 10 boards, and C Onyeka Okongwu put up 21 points off the bench. Atlanta outscored the Kings 33-8 on the fast break.
Watch the NBA on Fubo!Kings at Hawks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:45 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Kings +700 (bet $100 to win $700) | Hawks -1100 (bet $1,100 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Kings +14.5 (-105) | Hawks -14.5 (-115)Over/Under (O/U): 236.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Kings at Hawks key injuries
Kings
G Nique Clifford (foot) questionableC Drew Eubanks (thumb) out for seasonG Killian Hayes (finger) questionableF De’Andre Hunter (eye) out for seasonG Zach LaVine (finger) out for seasonF Keegan Murray (ankle) outC Domantas Sabonis (knee) out for seasonG Russell Westbrook (toe) out
Hawks
(Not yet submitted — below was for Friday’s game)
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Kings at Hawks picks and predictionsPrediction
Hawks 123, Kings 108
PASS.
The Hawks are the much better team, so covering here as -1100 favorites won’t be a problem. However, betting on a team favored this heavily on the ML is never recommended, so pass and bet on the spread and/or Over/Under instead.
LEAN HAWKS -14.5 (-115).
Atlanta has covered the spread in 7 of its last 10 overall, sitting at 4-0 ATS in its last 4 home games. The Hawks are also a much better 40-34 against the spread this season than Sacramento’s 29-43-2 ATS record. The Hawks are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 matchups with Sacramento, having covered in back-to-back meetings.
This is a LEAN because the Kings have covered the spread 2 of their last 3 on the road and because they are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 matchups against Atlanta.
BET UNDER 236.5 (-110).
The Under is 2-1 in Sacramento’s last 3 road games. The Under is also a much more dominant 8-2 in the last 10 matchups between these squads, having hit in 3 of the last 4 meetings in Atlanta.
Be aware that the Over/Under is 5-5 in both teams’ last 10 games and that both teams have a perfectly even 37-37 O/U record this season.
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