Miami Heat vs. Indiana Pacers odds, tips and betting trends | 3/29/2026

Data Skrive

March 28, 2026, 7:30 p.m. ET

Mar 27, 2026; Indianapolis, Indiana, USA; Indiana Pacers forward Pascal Siakam (43) shoots against LA Clippers forward Derrick Jones Jr. (5) in the second half at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

The Indiana Pacers (16-58) will host the Miami Heat (39-35) after losing 11 straight home games. It begins at 5 p.m. ET on Sunday, March 29, 2026.

The Heat are a 9.5-point favorite against the Pacers when the Heat and the Pacers meet. The point total for the matchup is set at 243.5.

Heat vs. Pacers betting odds

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Saturday at 7:30 p.m. ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Spread: Miami -9.5Total: 243.5Moneyline: Miami -415, Indiana +322Watch the NBA on Fubo!Heat at Pacers odds, spread, & morePredictionPick ATS: Heat (- 9.5)Pick OU: Under (243.5)Prediction: Heat 122 – Pacers 113MoneylineThe Heat have won 61.1% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (22-14).Miami has won all seven games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -415 or shorter.The Heat have an implied moneyline win probability of 80.6% in this game.The Pacers have been underdogs in 63 games this season and won 13 (20.6%) of those contests.This season, Indiana has won four of its 24 games, or 16.7%, when it is the underdog by at least +322 on the moneyline.The implied probability of a win by the Pacers based on the moneyline is 23.7%.Against the spreadThe Heat record 120.3 points per game, just 0.3 fewer points than the 120.6 the Pacers give up.Miami is 30-5 against the spread and 26-8 overall when scoring more than 120.6 points.Indiana has put together a 13-9 ATS record and an 8-14 overall record in games it scores more than 117.7 points.Miami is 21-3-1 against the spread and 20-4 overall when it gives up fewer than 111.9 points.The Heat are at the second spot in the NBA’s scoring charts (120.3 PPG), while the Pacers allow the 26th-fewest points per game (120.6) in the league.Indiana is the NBA’s 27th-ranked offense (111.9 PPG), while Miami is the 22nd-ranked defense (117.7).The Heat have totaled 191 more points than their opponents this season (2.6 per game on average), while the Pacers have been out-scored by 647 total points (8.7 per game average differential).Over/UnderMiami’s average implied point total this season is 5.9 fewer points than its implied total in Sunday’s game (121.1 implied points on average compared to 127 implied points in this game).This season, Miami has totaled more than 127 points in a game 21 times.Indiana’s average implied point total on the season (119.4 points) is 2.4 points higher than its implied total in this matchup (117 points).How to watch Heat vs. PacersGame day: Sunday, March 29, 2026Game time: 5 p.m. ETLocation: Indianapolis, IndianaArena: Gainbridge FieldhouseTV channel: FDSSUN, FDSINWatch the NBA on Fubo!

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