The Trail Blazers are -16.5 favorites vs. the Wizards
Total (Over/Under): 237.5 points
Watch the game on KUNP | MNMT | KATU
The Washington Wizards visit Moda Center to take on the Portland Trail Blazers on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00 pm in Portland, OR.
The Trail Blazers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-105).
The Wizards vs Trail Blazers Over/Under is 237.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Wizards are 32-41 against the spread, while the Trail Blazers are 39-36 against the spread.
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Wizards vs. Trail Blazers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineWashington Wizards+16.5 -115O 237.5 -110+775Portland Trail Blazers -16.5 -105U 237.5 -110-1400
Trail Blazers vs Wizards Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Trail Blazers will win Sunday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Wizards and Trail Blazers.
Trail Blazers vs Wizards Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Wizards will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.
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Wizards Best Bets for Tonight:
The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 40 away games (+11.35 Units / 28% ROI)
The Washington Wizards have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.10 Units / 34% ROI)
The Washington Wizards have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.60 Units / 31% ROI)
The Washington Wizards have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+9.73 Units / 21% ROI)
The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.05 Units / 33% ROI)
Trail Blazers Best Bets for Tonight:
The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 45 games (+12.55 Units / 24% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 16 games (+11.77 Units / 64% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 16 games (+11.75 Units / 64% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.90 Units / 32% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+9.70 Units / 55% ROI)
Washington Wizards Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 32-41 (-13.05 Units / -16.27% ROI).
17-56 against the Moneyline (-10.75 Units / -14.33% ROI)
42-31 against the Over for game total points (+7.9 Units / 9.84% ROI)
31-42 against the Under for game total points (-15.2 Units / -18.93% ROI)
Portland Trail Blazers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 39-36 (-0.6 Units / -0.73% ROI).
37-38 against the Moneyline (-0.45 Units / -0.31% ROI)
40-35 against the Over for game total points (+1.5 Units / 1.82% ROI)
35-40 against the Under for game total points (-9 Units / -10.91% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Trail Blazers:
The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 45 games (-19.00 Units / -37% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games (-18.80 Units / -33% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.70 Units / -25% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 30 games (-12.80 Units / -26% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 24 games at home (-12.65 Units / -46% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Wizards:
The Washington Wizards have only hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 23 games (-17.25 Units / -72% ROI)
The Washington Wizards have only hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 45 games (-16.85 Units / -33% ROI)
The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 30 away games (-16.35 Units / -55% ROI)
The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 40 games (-15.93 Units / -35% ROI)
The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 23 games (-15.20 Units / -64% ROI)
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Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers
The Wizards are 21-69 (.233) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Wizards are 2-24 (.077) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .389
The Wizards are 23-122 (.159) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451
The Wizards are 6-74 (.075) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .305
Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards
The Trail Blazers are 6-19 (.240) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .365
The Trail Blazers are 3-9 (.250) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .398
The Trail Blazers are 20-10 (.667) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .529
The Trail Blazers are 4-15 (.211) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .416
Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends
The Wizards have averaged 113.0 points per game (8,247 points/73 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.5
The Wizards have averaged 15.7 turnovers per game (1,147 turnovers/73 games) this season — 5th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5
The Wizards have averaged 1.23 points per shot (26,430 points/21,447 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29
The Wizards have averaged 47.1 points in the paint per game (3,440 points/73 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.6
Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Trail Blazers have averaged 17.5 turnovers per game (1,309 turnovers/75 games) this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5
The Trail Blazers are shooting 32% from three (479/1,500) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Trail Blazers have averaged 8.9 turnovers per game (665 turnovers/75 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
The Trail Blazers have averaged 16.2 turnovers per game (3,867 turnovers/239 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1
Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends
The Wizards have allowed 16.6 second chance points per game (3,942 points/237 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.3
The Wizards have averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,446 rebounds/73 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9
The Wizards have allowed 20.1 offensive rebounds per game (1,466 rebounds/73 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 17.9
The Wizards have allowed 18.6 second chance points per game (689 points/37 games) at home this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.0
Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Trail Blazers have averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (8,001 rebounds/239 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1
The Trail Blazers have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (407 blocks/75 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Trail Blazers have blocked 407 shots this season — 7th most among NBA teams
The Trail Blazers have averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (5,333 rebounds/157 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1
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