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Just when the Minnesota Timberwolves should be tuning up for a postseason run, injuries have ripped through their backcourt, and it’s going to take a “next man up” mentality as they host the Dallas Mavericks.
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Anthony Edwards has missed six straight, and he’s joined on the injury report by Jaden McDaniels and Ayo Dosunmu, so my Timberwolves vs. Mavericks predictions pivot to a Minnesota sharpshooter who’s had an even brighter green light during this short-handed stretch.
Check out my NBA picks for this March 30 matchup.
Timberwolves vs Mavericks predictionTimberwolves vs Mavericks best bet: Donte DiVincenzo Over 13.5 points (-110)
Donte DiVincenzo rarely has to be asked twice when it comes to launching 3-pointers, and the Minnesota Timberwolves have needed his volume shooting more than ever over the past few weeks. DiVincenzo has responded with 39 points across his last two outings, while making 10 of his 26 attempts from beyond the arc.
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Though Anthony Edwards and Ayo Dosunmu could return tonight to beef up Chris Finch’s backcourt, that shouldn’t drastically alter the script for DiVincenzo, and I’m counting on the recent extra reps translating to another Over on his points prop.
DiVincenzo is attempting almost eight 3-pointers a game this season, but don’t be surprised if he ends up with double-digit shots from downtown for the fourth time in his past five contests.
Most of all, Minnesota is desperate for spacing, and that makes DiVincenzo a lock for steady minutes. With Edwards sidelined, the visitors have been held below 105 points in three of their last four games, but the Dallas Mavericks’ defense could be the perfect medicine to get the T-Wolves firing again.
Dallas has given up 135+ points in four of its past five matchups en route to the draft lottery, and the Nuggets shot 56% from the field against Cooper Flagg & Co. last Wednesday. With the Mavs going through the motions, sign me up for a splashy effort from DiVincenzo tonight.
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Timberwolves vs Mavericks same-game parlay
If DiVincenzo gives the offense a jolt, Rudy Gobert can carry Minnesota on the other end of the floor. The Frenchman has cashed this Over in three of his last four games to keep the Wolves’ defense afloat, and he’s got a natural assignment around the rim against Daniel Gafford.
Minnesota has won five in a row against Dallas, so I’m riding with the visitors, who should come out with urgency after being blown out at home over the weekend. The prospect of Ant getting back on the court is enticing, but the Wolves have enough talent to grind out a win regardless.
Timberwolves vs Mavericks SGP
Donte DiVincenzo Over 13.5 points
Rudy Gobert Over 12.5 rebounds
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Our “from downtown” SGP: Championship Remix
I’m reuniting championship teammates in this SGP, with two sweet-shooting former Bucks.
DiVincenzo is poised for another high-volume night, while Khris Middleton has knocked down 1+ 3-pointers in four of his last five, as well as dishing eight assists across his last two games. The Wolves have covered the spread in three of their past four trips to Dallas and will do so again.
Timberwolves vs Mavericks SGP
Donte DiVincenzo Over 13.5 points
Khris Middleton Over 1.5 assists
Khris Middleton Over 0.5 made threes
Timberwolves vs Mavericks odds
Spread: Timberwolves -7 (-110) | Mavericks +7 (-110)
Moneyline: Timberwolves -270 | Mavericks +220
Over/Under: Over 236 (-110) | Under 236 (-110)
Timberwolves vs Mavericks betting trend to know
The Timberwolves are 16-7 SU this season as road favorites. Find more NBA betting trends for Timberwolves vs. Mavericks.
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How to watch Timberwolves vs Mavericks
Location
American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
Date
Monday, March 30, 2026
Tip-off
8:30 p.m. ET
TV
FDSN North, KFAA
Timberwolves vs Mavericks latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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