The Timberwolves are -6.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
Total (Over/Under): 235.5 points
Watch the game on KFAA | FDSN
The Minnesota Timberwolves visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 pm in Dallas, TX.
The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-118).
The Timberwolves vs Mavericks Over/Under is 235.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 32-42 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 33-41 against the spread.
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Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineMinnesota Timberwolves-6.5 -118O 235.5 -105-275Dallas Mavericks +6.5 -102U 235.5 -115+220
Mavericks vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Monday‘s game with 58.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Mavericks.
Mavericks vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 56.6% confidence.
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Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:
The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 40 away games (+16.27 Units / 35% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 40 away games (+11.90 Units / 26% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 53% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 away games (+8.50 Units / 16% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 away games (+7.65 Units / 48% ROI)
Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 50 games (+18.60 Units / 32% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 15 games at home (+10.75 Units / 62% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+8.80 Units / 19% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+7.50 Units / 40% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 7 games (+6.40 Units / 91% ROI)
Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 32-42 (-14.25 Units / -17.5% ROI).
45-29 against the Moneyline (-15.7 Units / -7.15% ROI)
33-41 against the Over for game total points (-12.1 Units / -14.86% ROI)
41-33 against the Under for game total points (+4.7 Units / 5.77% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 33-41 (-12.15 Units / -14.92% ROI).
24-50 against the Moneyline (-12.45 Units / -13.39% ROI)
33-41 against the Over for game total points (-12.1 Units / -14.86% ROI)
41-33 against the Under for game total points (+4.7 Units / 5.77% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 50 games (-25.50 Units / -45% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 40 games at home (-15.90 Units / -30% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 35 games (-15.55 Units / -38% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 17 of their last 45 games (-15.10 Units / -29% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 40 games at home (-15.05 Units / -33% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:
The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 40 away games (-22.34 Units / -49% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 45 games (-19.75 Units / -28% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 40 away games (-17.70 Units / -39% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 games (-15.60 Units / -13% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 45 away games (-14.90 Units / -29% ROI)
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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Timberwolves are 43-25 (.632) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .498
The Timberwolves are 29-10 (.744) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .569
The Timberwolves are 71-36 (.664) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Timberwolves are 46-20 (.697) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .599
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves
The Mavericks are 12-33 (.267) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .432
The Mavericks are 24-44 (.353) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .445
The Mavericks are 11-29 (.275) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .405
The Mavericks are 2-6 (.250) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .374
Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have an eFG% of 58% on the road this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
The Timberwolves are shooting 75% from the free throw line (1,422/1,894) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Timberwolves are shooting 38% from three (1,623/4,259) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Timberwolves have a TS% of 53% on the road this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have made 10.8 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3
The Mavericks have a TS% of 50% this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Mavericks have averaged 13.3 second chance points per game (986 points/74 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0
The Mavericks have a TS% of 49% in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%
Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (423 blocks/74 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Timberwolves have averaged 35.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,638 rebounds/74 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9
The Timberwolves have blocked 423 shots this season — 4th most among NBA teams
The Timberwolves have averaged 8.4 steals per game (1,016 steals/121 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (382 blocks/74 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Mavericks have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,727 rebounds/74 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9
The Mavericks have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (8,573 rebounds/238 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1
The Mavericks have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (652 blocks/118 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
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