The Pistons are -3.5 favorites vs. the Raptors
Total (Over/Under): 220.5 points
Watch the game on FDDX | SNET | WMYD
The Toronto Raptors visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Detroit, MI.
The Pistons are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Raptors vs Pistons Over/Under is 220.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Raptors are 38-35 against the spread, while the Pistons are 40-35 against the spread.
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Raptors vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineToronto Raptors+3.5 -115O 220.5 -110+125Detroit Pistons -3.5 -105U 220.5 -110-150
Pistons vs Raptors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Pistons will win Tuesday‘s game with 60.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Raptors and Pistons.
Pistons vs Raptors Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Raptors will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 67.3% confidence.
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Raptors Best Bets for Tonight:
The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.70 Units / 24% ROI)
The Toronto Raptors have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 away games (+11.90 Units / 31% ROI)
The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 away games (+9.27 Units / 23% ROI)
The Toronto Raptors have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.75 Units / 57% ROI)
The Toronto Raptors have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.10 Units / 20% ROI)
Pistons Best Bets for Tonight:
The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 40 games at home (+19.10 Units / 26% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2H Moneyline in 21 of their last 25 games (+15.64 Units / 32% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.95 Units / 25% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have covered the 2Q Spread in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+12.10 Units / 26% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have covered the 2H Spread in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.20 Units / 36% ROI)
Toronto Raptors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 38-35 (-0.5 Units / -0.61% ROI).
42-32 against the Moneyline (+8.25 Units / 5.78% ROI)
29-45 against the Over for game total points (-20.5 Units / -25.18% ROI)
45-29 against the Under for game total points (+13.1 Units / 16.09% ROI)
Detroit Pistons Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 40-35 (+1.55 Units / 1.88% ROI).
54-21 against the Moneyline (+8.2 Units / 3.31% ROI)
34-40 against the Over for game total points (-10 Units / -12.12% ROI)
40-34 against the Under for game total points (+2.6 Units / 3.15% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pistons:
The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 50 games (-21.10 Units / -36% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 45 games at home (-19.30 Units / -23% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 1Q Spread in 16 of their last 45 games at home (-17.55 Units / -34% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 45 games at home (-13.20 Units / -25% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games at home (-13.10 Units / -22% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Raptors:
The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 50 games (-21.70 Units / -37% ROI)
The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.80 Units / -29% ROI)
The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 35 away games (-15.40 Units / -40% ROI)
The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 24 games (-13.55 Units / -31% ROI)
The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 45 games (-12.85 Units / -25% ROI)
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Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons
The Raptors are 3-12 (.200) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .381
The Raptors are 26-45 (.366) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .415
The Raptors are 13-30 (.302) when allowing 110 or more points this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .355
The Raptors are 35-80 (.304) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .425
Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors
The Pistons are 28-10 (.737) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461
The Pistons are 16-6 (.727) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .530
The Pistons are 25-3 (.893) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .784
The Pistons are 31-11 (.738) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .568
Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Raptors have averaged 18.5 fast break points per game (4,410 points/238 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0
The Raptors have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (2,171 assists/ 1,019 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Raptors have averaged 18.9 fast break points per game (698 points/37 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0
The Raptors are shooting 35% from three (849/2,427) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pistons have averaged 30.5 points in the paint per game (2,256 points/74 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.1
The Pistons have a TS% of 46% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%
The Pistons have averaged 57.4 points in the paint per game (2,124 points/37 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.5
The Pistons have averaged 17.1 second chance points per game (1,267 points/74 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0
Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Raptors have averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,499 rebounds/74 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9
The Raptors have averaged 8.2 steals per game (970 steals/119 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.1
The Raptors have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (1,097 blocks/238 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Raptors have averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (5,346 rebounds/156 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1
Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pistons have averaged 6.4 blocks per game (470 blocks/74 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Pistons have blocked 470 shots this season — most among NBA teams
The Pistons have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (902 blocks/156 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Pistons have 772 steals this season — most among NBA teams
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