NBA Betting Preview: Cavaliers vs Warriors

The Cleveland Cavaliers battle the Golden State Warriors in this NBA contest. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

Go Over the Total and Cheer on Points

We’re confident that Over 226.5 is the value play at -114. We’re expecting the Cavaliers and the Warriors to rack up the points, so we’ll have a bet on the totals.

Warriors 99-94 Win in Previous H2H Encounter

Cleveland Cavaliers suffered a defeat in their previous game. A 127-113 scoreline occurred on the road at Crypto.com Arena against LA Lakers. Jarrett Allen tallied 18 points, while James Harden put up 17 and Thomas Bryant 14.

Golden State Warriors were beaten 127-113 at Chase Center in their last game. This loss at home to San Antonio Spurs was their second straight defeat. Jeenathan Williams scored 18 points, with Omer Yurtseven putting up 17 and LJ Cryer contributing 17.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Warriors won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 99-94 triumph when facing the Cavs at Rocket Arena. The past 10 H2H games have seen the Warriors land six wins.

Cavaliers logo Cavaliers
47
29
0.618
119.3
115.3
4
24-14
23-15
10-5
30-18
7-3
1L

Warriors logo Warriors
36
39
0.48
114.9
114.9
0
21-15
15-24
6-6
23-23
4-6
1L

View Full Standings

Cleveland Cavaliers – Last 10 Games

7 wins and 3 losses in the past 10 games. The Cavs are averaging 123.0 points, 44.1 rebounds, 29.0 assists, 7.1 steals and 3.7 blocks while shooting 51.3% from the field and 77.3% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 118.6 points and 41.1 rebounds per matchup.

Donovan Mitchell is averaging 21.6 points, Evan Mobley 10.0 rebounds and James Harden 8.4 assists along with 2.9 (42.0%) 3-pointers made.

Golden State Warriors – Last 10 Games

The Warriors have won 4 and lost 6 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 112.5 points, 39.7 rebounds, 28.1 assists, 9.6 steals and 3.6 blocks per game while shooting 48.1% from the field and 78.3% from the free-throw line. Their opponents average 119.4 points and 38.4 rebounds.

Brandin Podziemski is averaging 16.6 points, 5.8 rebounds and 2.0 (35.1%) 3-pointers made, while Draymond Green has an average of 5.0 assists.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Picks

Discover the top Cleveland Cavaliers vs Golden State Warriors betting angles — from our trusted match prediction and likely score to the best prop plays and a customized bet builder.

Game Prediction

Let’s go for Over 226.5 when these NBA teams lock horns. We think the line is too generous and we’re expecting the final total to be higher at -114.

Tracking injury updates is a big part of our analysis and team news plays a major role in shaping our basketball predictions. We combine this with recent form and the most important NBA stats to get a complete picture.

Key Cavaliers vs Warriors stats:

The 226.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Cavs games.The 226.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Cavs games.The 226.5 line has been covered in the last 3 Cavs games.The 226.5 line has been covered in 16 of the last 20 Warriors games at home.The 226.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Warriors games at home.The 226.5 line has been covered in the last 2 Warriors games at home.Over 226.5 Probability

If you go by the best betting sites, our pick has a 53.2% chance of landing a return. However, our cappers have this figure closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

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If you’re confident with your Over prediction but want more juice from your wager, then a Bet Builder can offer the chance to add in other picks for a bigger payout.

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Our Game Prediction


Over 226.5 Points @ -114

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 2, 01:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Published 01:02, 02 April 2026

Player Prop Picks

Gui Santos (Warriors) has scored an average of 23 points in the past 4 home games. We think this is the pick of the prop bets, with odds of -110 available when it comes to backing him on Player Points.

Latest Gui Santos Player Prop Odds

James Harden (Cavs) has finished with Over 4.5 rebounds in 8 of the past 10 games. We think it’s achievable that he will cover the Player Rebounds line and there are odds of -110 available.

Latest James Harden Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

There’s lots of entertainment when it comes to a correct score wager. A play on the Cavaliers to achieve a 122-108 win should give bettors a good run for their money.

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Cleveland Cavaliers vs Golden State Warriors Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Cavs Heavy Favorites in Eyes of the Books

Cleveland Cavaliers are massive -455 favorites. They are regarded as 82% likely to win this NBA game judging by the sportsbooks’ latest Moneyline odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +350 about Golden State Warriors.

The spread is calculated to be 10.5, while total points comes in at 227.5. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you want to back Over 227.5, it’s -110.

The good news is that you can access hundreds of team props and game lines for most basketball contests. The best betting apps have a massive range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Betting Lines & Odds

Moneyline

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Point Spread

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Total Points

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Donovan Mitchell Favorite to Get Most Points

Donovan Mitchell is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can back -109 that he gets Over 24.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -125.

Player Points

Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers)

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Kristaps Porzingis (Warriors)

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James Harden (Cavaliers)

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Evan Mobley (Cavaliers)

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Player Assists

James Harden (Cavaliers)

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Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers)

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Draymond Green (Warriors)

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Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)

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Player Rebounds

Evan Mobley (Cavaliers)

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Jarrett Allen (Cavaliers)

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Kristaps Porzingis (Warriors)

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Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)

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Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Chase Center

Chase Center

Warriors Stand on Seven Losses From Past Ten Home Games

The Warriors have three wins and seven losses in the last 10 home games, scoring 114.70 points per contest and conceding 122.30.

The Cavs have a 6-4 record in their last 10 games away from home, putting up 118.50 points on average and giving up 114.70.

Golden State Warriors logo Golden State Warriors Home Stats
3-7
237.00
114.70
122.30
8
2

Cleveland Cavaliers logo Cleveland Cavaliers Away Stats
6-4
233.20
118.50
114.70
7
3

W-L = Wins-Losses
P = Avg. Points
PF = Avg. Points For
PA = Avg. Points Against
O226.5 = Games Over 226.5 Points
U226.5 = Games Under 226.5 Points

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Cleveland Cavaliers logo
Cleveland Cavaliers Stats

Golden State Warriors logo

Golden State Warriors Stats

7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games

6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games

3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

-10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
-10.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games on the road

+10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
+10.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Game Totals: An average of 241.60 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 233.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 226.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
Over 226.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 123.00 pts and allowed 118.60 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 118.50 pts and allowed 114.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Game Totals: An average of 231.90 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 237.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
Over 226.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
Over 226.5 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 112.50 pts and allowed 119.40 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 114.70 pts and allowed 122.30 pts in the last 10 home games

Last 10 Games

2-Pointers Made: 31.70 (63%)
3-Pointers Made: 13.40 (36%)
Free Throws Made: 19.40 (77.29%)
Rebounds: Total 44.1, Offensive 10.20, Defensive 33.90
Assists: 29.00
Blocks: 3.70
Steals: 7.10
Turnovers : 11.90
Personal Fouls: 20.20

Last 10 Games on the Road

2-Pointers Made: 30.30 (60%)
3-Pointers Made: 13.00 (35%)
Free Throws Made: 18.90 (71.86%)
Rebounds: Total 44.9, Offensive 11.80, Defensive 33.10
Assists: 27.90
Blocks: 4.90
Steals: 7.50
Turnovers : 12.40
Personal Fouls: 18.90

Last 10 Games

2-Pointers Made: 27.30 (59%)
3-Pointers Made: 13.30 (35%)
Free Throws Made: 18.00 (78.26%)
Rebounds: Total 39.7, Offensive 10.70, Defensive 29.00
Assists: 28.10
Blocks: 3.60
Steals: 9.60
Turnovers : 18.10
Personal Fouls: 20.10

Last 10 Home Games

2-Pointers Made: 25.20 (56%)
3-Pointers Made: 16.30 (36%)
Free Throws Made: 15.40 (80.63%)
Rebounds: Total 41.6, Offensive 10.40, Defensive 31.20
Assists: 30.20
Blocks: 3.50
Steals: 8.00
Turnovers : 12.70
Personal Fouls: 19.50

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

Expert Analysis by Kyrone Jones

NBA Analyst

About the Analyst

Our basketball previews are produced by a specialised team of analysts, former odds compilers and sports journalists. Picks are research-driven and reviewed for accuracy and editorial consistency under the oversight of our basketball panel and Editor-in-Chief.

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NBA Predictions Methodology

Our NBA analysis focuses on efficiency, pace and player performance ratings. We combine player availability, schedule context, lineup data and market movement with metrics such as Offensive Rating (ORTG), Defensive Rating (DRTG), Net Rating and Effective Field Goal Percentage (eFG%) to assess overall team strength, fatigue analysis and find value in high-paced games.

Full Methodology & Data Sources

Where to Bet

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Transparency & Safety

This preview was last updated on Apr 2, 06:40 to reflect the latest team news, injury reports, starting lineups, player rotations, rest and travel factors, key performance metrics and odds movement.

All analysis is produced by professional analysts and reviewed by our Basketball Editorial Betting Panel for accuracy and consistency.

Historical performance for our game predictions is tracked and updated regularly for transparency.

Important: Betting should be treated as entertainment and involves risk. Past results are not indicative of future performance. Only wager what you can afford to lose.

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