The Hornets are -5.5 favorites vs. the Suns
Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
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The Phoenix Suns visit Spectrum Center to take on the Charlotte Hornets on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Charlotte, NC.
The Hornets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).
The Suns vs Hornets Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Suns are 46-29 against the spread, while the Hornets are 47-28 against the spread.
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Suns vs. Hornets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
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Hornets vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Hornets will win Thursday‘s game with 63.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Suns and Hornets.
Hornets vs Suns Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 67.0% confidence.
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Suns Best Bets for Tonight:
The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 45 games (+12.40 Units / 24% ROI)
The Phoenix Suns have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.55 Units / 22% ROI)
The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.50 Units / 44% ROI)
The Phoenix Suns have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.03 Units / 22% ROI)
The Phoenix Suns have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 35 away games (+9.80 Units / 25% ROI)
Hornets Best Bets for Tonight:
The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 50 games (+24.75 Units / 33% ROI)
The Charlotte Hornets have covered the 3Q Spread in 38 of their last 50 games (+23.95 Units / 41% ROI)
The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 50 games (+19.15 Units / 13% ROI)
The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 50 games (+17.95 Units / 31% ROI)
The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 35 games at home (+17.92 Units / 45% ROI)
Phoenix Suns Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 46-29 (+14.1 Units / 16.87% ROI).
42-34 against the Moneyline (+4.75 Units / 3.17% ROI)
34-41 against the Over for game total points (-11.1 Units / -13.28% ROI)
41-34 against the Under for game total points (+3.6 Units / 4.31% ROI)
Charlotte Hornets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Hornets have gone 47-28 (+16.2 Units / 19.38% ROI).
40-36 against the Moneyline (+14.6 Units / 8.48% ROI)
28-48 against the Over for game total points (-24.8 Units / -29.67% ROI)
48-28 against the Under for game total points (+17.2 Units / 20.57% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Hornets:
The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 50 games (-25.50 Units / -44% ROI)
The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 35 games at home (-23.39 Units / -57% ROI)
The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 40 games at home (-20.35 Units / -44% ROI)
The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 45 games (-17.20 Units / -33% ROI)
The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 40 games at home (-16.70 Units / -38% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Suns:
The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 40 games (-22.70 Units / -43% ROI)
The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 40 games (-18.80 Units / -40% ROI)
The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 45 games (-18.45 Units / -36% ROI)
The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 40 games (-15.64 Units / -34% ROI)
The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 21 games (-13.40 Units / -55% ROI)
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Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Charlotte Hornets
The Suns are undefeated (15-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .782
The Suns are 27-14 (.659) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540
The Suns are 66-37 (.641) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564
The Suns are 25-16 (.610) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .555
Charlotte Hornets: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns
The Hornets are 1-13 (.071) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .430
The Hornets are 25-82 (.234) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .436
The Hornets are 19-93 (.170) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .354
The Hornets are 1-4 (.200) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .400
Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends
The Suns have averaged 42.9 points in the paint per game (3,264 points/76 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
The Suns have averaged 42.0 points in the paint per game (1,638 points/39 games) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
The Suns have 20.4 free throw attempts per game this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.6
The Suns have averaged 20.1 points in the paint per game (1,524 points/76 games) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.3
Charlotte Hornets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Hornets have averaged 12.4 fast break points per game (2,988 points/240 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0
The Hornets have made 16.2 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3
The Hornets have averaged 8.9 second chance points per game (675 points/76 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Hornets are shooting 39% from three (657/1,678) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends
The Suns have averaged 32.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,479 rebounds/76 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8
The Suns have averaged 9.7 steals per game (739 steals/76 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
The Suns have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (312 blocks/76 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Suns have 739 steals this season — 3rd most among NBA teams
Charlotte Hornets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Hornets have allowed 12.0 second chance points per game (457 points/38 games) on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.9
The Hornets have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (338 blocks/76 games) this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Hornets have averaged 6.6 steals per game (788 steals/120 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Hornets have allowed 14.8 offensive rebounds per game (564 rebounds/38 games) on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 17.7
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