The Celtics are -17.5 favorites vs. the Bucks
Total (Over/Under): 217.5 points
Watch the game on NBSB | FDWI
The Boston Celtics visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Milwaukee, WI.
The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-105).
The Celtics vs Bucks Over/Under is 217.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 44-32 against the spread, while the Bucks are 34-42 against the spread.
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Celtics vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineBoston Celtics-17.5 -105O 217.5 -115-2000Milwaukee Bucks +17.5 -115U 217.5 -105+1000
Bucks vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Friday‘s game with 67.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Celtics and Bucks.
Bucks vs Celtics Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
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Celtics Best Bets for Tonight:
The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 31 of their last 45 away games (+19.55 Units / 26% ROI)
The Boston Celtics have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 50 games (+18.50 Units / 34% ROI)
The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 23 of their last 30 away games (+14.95 Units / 43% ROI)
The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 45 away games (+13.00 Units / 25% ROI)
The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 away games (+12.95 Units / 45% ROI)
Bucks Best Bets for Tonight:
The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.10 Units / 16% ROI)
The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+8.90 Units / 32% ROI)
The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+8.45 Units / 24% ROI)
The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+7.75 Units / 27% ROI)
The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 53% ROI)
Boston Celtics Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 44-32 (+8.8 Units / 10.53% ROI).
51-25 against the Moneyline (+2.3 Units / 0.96% ROI)
27-49 against the Over for game total points (-26.9 Units / -32.18% ROI)
49-27 against the Under for game total points (+19.3 Units / 23.09% ROI)
Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 34-42 (-12.2 Units / -14.6% ROI).
30-46 against the Moneyline (-13.35 Units / -11.9% ROI)
34-42 against the Over for game total points (-12.2 Units / -14.59% ROI)
42-34 against the Under for game total points (+4.6 Units / 5.5% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bucks:
The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 40 games (-19.25 Units / -42% ROI)
The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 35 games at home (-18.85 Units / -47% ROI)
The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 40 games at home (-17.40 Units / -29% ROI)
The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-17.00 Units / -29% ROI)
The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 40 games at home (-15.80 Units / -34% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Celtics:
The Boston Celtics have only hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 50 games (-23.50 Units / -43% ROI)
The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 45 away games (-19.65 Units / -38% ROI)
The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games (-19.10 Units / -33% ROI)
The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 40 games (-18.64 Units / -40% ROI)
The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-15.75 Units / -27% ROI)
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Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks
The Celtics are undefeated (24-0) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .699
The Celtics are 152-26 (.854) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .655
The Celtics are 63-28 (.692) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .451
The Celtics are 56-11 (.836) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .619
Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics
The Bucks are winless (0-13) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .221
The Bucks are 12-23 (.343) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460
The Bucks are 6-22 (.214) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .397
The Bucks are undefeated (22-0) when allowing fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .916
Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends
The Celtics have made 16.4 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0
The Celtics have averaged 12.2 turnovers per game (931 turnovers/76 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5
The Celtics have made 16.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2
The Celtics have a 21% free throw rate (1,434 free throw attempts/6,867 field goal attempts) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%
Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks are shooting 51% (400/778) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 45%
The Bucks have averaged 11.3 second chance points per game (856 points/76 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0
The Bucks have a TS% of 55% in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%
The Bucks have averaged 5.7 second chance points per game (436 points/76 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends
The Celtics have allowed 39.9 points in the paint per game (3,036 points/76 games) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 49.7
The Celtics have allowed 19.9 points in the paint per game (1,512 points/76 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 25.2
The Celtics have averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (8,886 rebounds/240 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1
The Celtics have allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (12,983 points/11,007 shots) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.26
Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (296 blocks/76 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Bucks have averaged 7.5 steals per game (567 steals/76 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
The Bucks have averaged 7.2 steals per game (1,726 steals/240 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Bucks have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (1,092 blocks/240 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
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