Raptors vs Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props

Grizzlies vs Raptors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Raptors will win Friday‘s game with 64.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Raptors and Grizzlies.

Grizzlies vs Raptors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Raptors will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 53.2% confidence.

Bet now on Grizzlies vs Raptors and all NBA games with BetMGM

Raptors Best Bets for Tonight:

The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 away games (+10.05 Units / 22% ROI)

The Toronto Raptors have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 away games (+9.80 Units / 25% ROI)

The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.35 Units / 16% ROI)

The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 away games (+7.12 Units / 18% ROI)

The Toronto Raptors have covered the 1Q Spread in 22 of their last 35 games (+6.95 Units / 17% ROI)

Grizzlies Best Bets for Tonight:

The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 50 games (+16.50 Units / 29% ROI)

The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 games at home (+13.70 Units / 29% ROI)

The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 30 games (+12.75 Units / 37% ROI)

The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+11.65 Units / 80% ROI)

The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.55 Units / 18% ROI)

Toronto Raptors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 38-37 (-2.7 Units / -3.23% ROI).

42-34 against the Moneyline (+0.35 Units / 0.23% ROI)

31-45 against the Over for game total points (-18.5 Units / -22.13% ROI)

45-31 against the Under for game total points (+10.9 Units / 13.04% ROI)

Memphis Grizzlies Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 36-40 (-8 Units / -9.57% ROI).

25-51 against the Moneyline (-24.55 Units / -25.99% ROI)

37-38 against the Over for game total points (-4.8 Units / -5.74% ROI)

38-37 against the Under for game total points (-2.7 Units / -3.23% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Grizzlies:

The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 50 games (-24.25 Units / -42% ROI)

The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 50 games (-22.45 Units / -36% ROI)

The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 13 of their last 50 games (-21.88 Units / -38% ROI)

The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 30 games (-17.10 Units / -50% ROI)

The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 45 games (-17.00 Units / -35% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Raptors:

The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 23 games (-17.85 Units / -41% ROI)

The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-17.40 Units / -30% ROI)

The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 45 games (-15.10 Units / -29% ROI)

The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 35 away games (-13.30 Units / -35% ROI)

The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 50 games (-12.45 Units / -22% ROI)

Jump to:

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Raptors are 24-10 (.706) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Raptors are 34-92 (.270) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th-worst in the NBA. The Grizzlies have averaged 53.1 rebounds/game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th-highest in the NBA.

The Raptors are 7-82 (.079) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223

The Raptors are 3-16 (.158) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .212

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Grizzlies are 3-13 (.188) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .386

The Grizzlies are 1-26 (.037) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .217

The Grizzlies are 9-38 (.191) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .346

The Grizzlies are 7-26 (.212) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .363

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 19.0 fast break points per game (721 points/38 games) at home this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3

The Raptors have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (1,142 assists/ 523 TOs) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Raptors have averaged 18.5 fast break points per game (4,450 points/240 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0

The Raptors have averaged 30.1 assists per game (1,142 assists/38 games) on the road this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.4

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 1.27 points per shot (8,745 points/6,864 shots) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Grizzlies are shooting 80% from the free throw line (1,400/1,761) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Grizzlies have averaged 7.6 fast break points per game (579 points/76 games) in the second half this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Grizzlies have averaged 7.2 second chance points per game (548 points/76 games) in the second half this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 33.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,550 rebounds/76 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Raptors have averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (8,166 rebounds/240 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Raptors have 1,969 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th most among NBA teams

The Raptors have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (516 blocks/120 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 8.9 steals per game (674 steals/76 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Grizzlies have allowed 17.8 second chance points per game (1,353 points/76 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.0

The Grizzlies have averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,537 rebounds/76 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Grizzlies have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (1,339 blocks/240 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0