Pelicans vs Kings Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props

Kings vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Kings.

Kings vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 57.3% confidence.

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Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:

The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 games (+11.25 Units / 23% ROI)

The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.65 Units / 17% ROI)

The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.50 Units / 48% ROI)

The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 games (+8.35 Units / 14% ROI)

The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 43% ROI)

Kings Best Bets for Tonight:

The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+11.95 Units / 45% ROI)

The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+9.68 Units / 66% ROI)

The Sacramento Kings have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 13 games (+9.15 Units / 59% ROI)

The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 45 games (+8.90 Units / 19% ROI)

The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+8.85 Units / 26% ROI)

New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 43-33 (+6.7 Units / 7.91% ROI).

25-52 against the Moneyline (-17.15 Units / -18.08% ROI)

38-39 against the Over for game total points (-4.9 Units / -5.79% ROI)

39-38 against the Under for game total points (-2.8 Units / -3.31% ROI)

Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 32-45 (-17.5 Units / -20.66% ROI).

20-57 against the Moneyline (-4.65 Units / -5.54% ROI)

39-38 against the Over for game total points (-2.8 Units / -3.31% ROI)

38-39 against the Under for game total points (-4.9 Units / -5.79% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:

The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 40 games at home (-21.05 Units / -45% ROI)

The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 2Q Spread in 14 of their last 40 games at home (-14.90 Units / -32% ROI)

The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-14.65 Units / -25% ROI)

The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 40 games at home (-12.10 Units / -26% ROI)

The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 21 of their last 50 games (-12.00 Units / -21% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:

The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 4Q Spread in 18 of their last 50 games (-19.65 Units / -34% ROI)

The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.80 Units / -29% ROI)

The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 40 away games (-15.20 Units / -34% ROI)

The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 45 games (-11.55 Units / -23% ROI)

The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 50 games (-10.35 Units / -18% ROI)

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New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Pelicans are 1-12 (.077) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .397

The Pelicans are 1-19 (.050) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .301

The Pelicans are 3-30 (.091) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .363

The Pelicans are 4-24 (.143) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .217

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Kings are 1-8 (.111) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .603

The Kings are 7-27 (.206) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .408

The Kings are 9-26 (.257) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .441

The Kings are 5-24 (.172) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .301

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 60.4 points in the paint per game (2,356 points/39 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Pelicans have averaged 29.6 points in the paint per game (2,280 points/77 games) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.2

The Pelicans have averaged 57.3 points in the paint per game (4,412 points/77 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Pelicans have made 11.2 three-pointers per game this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have made 10.2 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Kings are shooting 34% from three (789/2,315) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Kings have averaged 110.9 points per game (8,537 points/77 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.5

The Kings have averaged 112.3 points per game (4,267 points/38 games) at home this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 116.3

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 8.8 steals per game (677 steals/77 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Pelicans have averaged 9.0 steals per game (1,077 steals/120 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Pelicans have 677 steals this season — 8th most among NBA teams

The Pelicans have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,625 rebounds/77 games) this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (3,320/8,703) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Kings have averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,539 rebounds/77 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three (1,672/4,331) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Kings have allowed an eFG% of 58% on the road this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%