The Hornets are -2.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves

Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points

Watch the game on FDCH | FDSN | WSOC

The Charlotte Hornets visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

The Hornets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Hornets vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hornets are 49-28 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 34-43 against the spread.

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Hornets vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineCharlotte Hornets-2.5 -105O 227.5 -110-125Minnesota Timberwolves +2.5 -115U 227.5 -110+105

Timberwolves vs Hornets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Hornets and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Hornets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hornets will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 56.6% confidence.

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Hornets Best Bets for Tonight:

The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 away games (+22.45 Units / 32% ROI)

The Charlotte Hornets have covered the 3Q Spread in 37 of their last 50 games (+21.85 Units / 38% ROI)

The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games (+20.20 Units / 26% ROI)

The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 35 away games (+20.15 Units / 50% ROI)

The Charlotte Hornets have covered the Spread in 35 of their last 50 games (+18.50 Units / 34% ROI)

Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:

The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 35 games at home (+16.10 Units / 42% ROI)

The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 35 games at home (+15.90 Units / 40% ROI)

The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+11.63 Units / 29% ROI)

The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+9.45 Units / 47% ROI)

The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+8.20 Units / 48% ROI)

Charlotte Hornets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hornets have gone 49-28 (+18.2 Units / 21.21% ROI).

42-36 against the Moneyline (+16.6 Units / 8.85% ROI)

30-48 against the Over for game total points (-22.8 Units / -26.57% ROI)

48-30 against the Under for game total points (+15 Units / 17.48% ROI)

Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 34-43 (-13.35 Units / -15.75% ROI).

46-31 against the Moneyline (-16.7 Units / -7.43% ROI)

34-43 against the Over for game total points (-13.3 Units / -15.7% ROI)

43-34 against the Under for game total points (+5.6 Units / 6.61% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:

The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 30 games at home (-21.20 Units / -38% ROI)

The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 35 games at home (-20.80 Units / -51% ROI)

The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 35 games at home (-19.60 Units / -51% ROI)

The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 14 of their last 35 games (-16.82 Units / -28% ROI)

The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 35 games at home (-16.65 Units / -41% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Hornets:

The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 50 games (-27.65 Units / -48% ROI)

The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 45 games (-19.35 Units / -37% ROI)

The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 45 games (-13.80 Units / -28% ROI)

The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 40 away games (-13.25 Units / -29% ROI)

The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 18 games (-12.18 Units / -58% ROI)

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Charlotte Hornets: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Hornets are 25-82 (.234) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .435

The Hornets are 7-34 (.171) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .443

The Hornets are 3-21 (.125) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .214

The Hornets are 22-74 (.229) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th-worst in the NBA. The Timberwolves have made 13.8 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-7th-highest in the NBA.

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Charlotte Hornets

The Timberwolves are 25-11 (.694) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .574

The Timberwolves are 73-34 (.682) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Hornets have averaged 14.9 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th-highest in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are 45-30 (.600) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .502

The Timberwolves are 26-12 (.684) when they win the turnover margin this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .592

Charlotte Hornets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have made 16.4 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Hornets have averaged 9.0 second chance points per game (702 points/78 games) in the second half this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Hornets have 20.0 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.3

The Hornets are shooting 38% from three (1,276/3,356) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are shooting 37% from three (1,054/2,859) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (955 assists/ 590 TOs) in the second half this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Timberwolves are shooting 37% from three (497/1,351) in the second half this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves have averaged 14.0 second chance points per game (533 points/38 games) on the road this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0

Charlotte Hornets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have averaged 6.6 steals per game (803 steals/122 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Hornets have allowed 15.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,212 rebounds/78 games) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 17.9

The Hornets have allowed 14.8 offensive rebounds per game (564 rebounds/38 games) on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 17.7

The Hornets have averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,793 rebounds/78 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,751 rebounds/77 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (441 blocks/77 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (622 blocks/120 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Timberwolves have blocked 441 shots this season — 4th most among NBA teams

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