Shawn Krest
• Betting Analyst
20+ years betting experience
Updated:
Apr 5, 2026 , 11:57 AM ET
• 4 min read
Krest’s Predictions: Expect the Kings to cover tonight.
Photo By – Reuters Connect. Maxime Raynaud of the Sacramento Kings NBA
The Los Angeles Clippers head to Sacramento, trying to move up in the seeding for the play-in round. L.A. faces three teams with a worse record in the last five contests, which could help the Clippers catch Portland, as long as they take care of business in the games they should win.
That hasn’t happened lately. Los Angeles has failed to cover its last four, while the Sacramento Kings are 4-1 ATS over the last five.
That’s why my Clippers vs. Kings predictions and NBA picks call for the Kings to cover at home.
Clippers vs Kings prediction
Clippers vs Kings best bet: Kings +13 (-110)
The Los Angeles Clippers have turned around their season after a terrible start, but they’re still not used to being the hunted. Los Angeles has covered less than 40% of the time when it’s been favored in a game and is just 5-11 ATS as a road favorite, missing the spread by an average of 4.5 points.
L.A. has also failed to cover three of its last four as a double-digit favorite. This is only the second time this season they’ve been favored by double figures on the road, and they missed covering the last time, a week ago at Milwaukee, by 3.5 points.
The Sacramento Kings, meanwhile, have nothing to play for, but they’ve found new life. Sacramento has covered as a double-digit dog three times in the last 10 days, winning one outright.
The Kings are 7-7 over their last 14 games, 9-5 ATS. That run includes a win over the Clippers on March 14, despite being a 13.5-point underdog. The Clippers are 8-6 outright over that stretch but just 5-9 ATS.
They’ve covered as a road favorite just three times in calendar year 2026 and not since March 2.
Sacramento’s interior game matches up well with a Clippers team that doesn’t handle banging in the paint well.
The Kings shot a season best 58.5% against L.A. in the win, and in their February meeting before that, Sacramento led by double figures early and was leading into the fourth quarter before the Clippers rallied to win—but not cover.
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Clippers vs Kings same-game parlay
Both teams rank in the bottom half of the league in pace, and the Clippers are No. 28. Los Angeles has been Under in four of its last five, Sacramento in two of its last three.
Sacramento bullied the Clippers inside the paint the last time they played. If that trend continues, Brook Lopez may find the going tough in the paint and look to kick the ball out. He has 10 assists in his last four games.
Clippers vs Kings SGP
Clippers +12.5
Under 228.5 points
Brook Lopez Over 1.5 assists
Our “from downtown” SGP: Brook from Downtown!
Interior production has been a problem for the Clippers, and Sacramento is not a good matchup for them.
The Kings should own the inside, as they did in the last matchup. In addition to passing out of the paint, Lopez, who has three games with multiple treys in the last five, will likely look to shoot from outside.
John Collins has grabbed fewer than seven rebounds in his last six games. Raynaud has hit double-figure scoring in eight of the last nine and has 35 boards in his last four games.
Clippers vs Kings SGP
Sacramento +13
Maxime Raynaud double-double
Brook Lopez Over 1.5 made threes
John Collins Under 6.5 rebounds
Clippers vs Kings odds
Spread: Clippers -13 | Kings +14
Moneyline: Clippers -855 | Kings +575
Over/Under: Over 228.5 | Under 228.5
Clippers vs Kings betting trend to know
The Kings have won their last four ATS against the Clippers as an underdog. Find more NBA betting trends for Clippers vs. Kings.
How to watch Clippers vs Kings
Location
Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA
Date
Sunday, April 5, 2026
Tip-off
9:00 p.m. ET
TV
FDSN SoCal, NBC Sports California
Clippers vs Kings latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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