The best team in the Western Conference will play the worst team in the West when the Oklahoma City Thunder host the Utah Jazz on Sunday. As expected, the Thunder are heavy favorites in this game against the tanking Jazz. The Thunder have won their last 4 games and are 9-1 in their last 10 games. Oklahoma City is the current top seed in the West, and they are only 2.5 games above the San Antonio Spurs. With 5 games remaining in the season, the Thunder still need to win games down the stretch to secure their spot.
The Jazz have lost their 8 games and 3-18 in their last 21 games. They have been catching 16.5 points or more in their last 5 games. They covered in 3 of those games. They beat the spread twice against the Nuggets and once against the Cavaliers. Utah still lost all of those games, but the young core of Brice Sensabaugh, Ace Bailey, and Kyle Filipowski have had enough fight in them down the stretch against playoff teams to cover these large spreads.
A recent trend that has paid for Utah in this stretch has been the over, which has hit in 6 of their last 8 games. The Jazz have averaged 115.3 points per game in their last 8 games. An offense that has gotten up and down being paired with a defense that ranks 2nd-to-last in defensive rating has resulted in a high number of points. On top of that, the over has hit in 4 of the Thunder’s last 5 games. This is only the 3rd time this season a total for a Thunder game has been 239 or higher. In both the previous games, the over cashed. With the spread being so high, I’ll side with the over in this contest.
Jazz vs Thunder prediction: Over 239 is available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number.
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