The Bucks are -6.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
Watch the game on FDWI | WMLW | FDSM
The Memphis Grizzlies visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30 pm in Milwaukee, WI.
The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Grizzlies vs Bucks Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 36-41 against the spread, while the Bucks are 34-43 against the spread.
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Grizzlies vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineMemphis Grizzlies+6.5 -110O 227.5 -110+200Milwaukee Bucks -6.5 -110U 227.5 -110-250
Bucks vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Sunday‘s game with 64.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Grizzlies and Bucks.
Bucks vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 60.5% confidence.
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Grizzlies Best Bets for Tonight:
The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 25% ROI)
The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.60 Units / 31% ROI)
The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 19 away games (+10.50 Units / 49% ROI)
The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 away games (+9.90 Units / 23% ROI)
The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 games (+9.35 Units / 20% ROI)
Bucks Best Bets for Tonight:
The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+9.90 Units / 34% ROI)
The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+9.90 Units / 21% ROI)
The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+9.80 Units / 21% ROI)
The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+6.95 Units / 12% ROI)
The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.40 Units / 18% ROI)
Memphis Grizzlies Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 36-41 (-9.1 Units / -10.74% ROI).
25-52 against the Moneyline (-25.55 Units / -26.77% ROI)
37-39 against the Over for game total points (-5.9 Units / -6.97% ROI)
39-37 against the Under for game total points (-1.7 Units / -2.01% ROI)
Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 34-43 (-13.3 Units / -15.71% ROI).
30-47 against the Moneyline (-14.35 Units / -12.68% ROI)
35-42 against the Over for game total points (-11.2 Units / -13.22% ROI)
42-35 against the Under for game total points (+3.5 Units / 4.13% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bucks:
The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 45 games (-21.25 Units / -40% ROI)
The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 35 games at home (-21.00 Units / -52% ROI)
The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 35 games at home (-16.85 Units / -34% ROI)
The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 40 games at home (-15.80 Units / -34% ROI)
The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 40 games at home (-15.75 Units / -34% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Grizzlies:
The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 50 games (-25.65 Units / -41% ROI)
The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 12 of their last 50 games (-24.18 Units / -42% ROI)
The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 50 games (-22.10 Units / -38% ROI)
The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 50 games (-18.80 Units / -34% ROI)
The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 2H Spread in 14 of their last 40 games (-16.02 Units / -35% ROI)
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Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks
The Grizzlies are 3-13 (.188) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .386
The Grizzlies are 15-22 (.405) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .541
The Grizzlies are 5-2 (.714) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604
The Grizzlies are 2-20 (.091) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .210
Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies
The Bucks are 13-6 (.684) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .541
The Bucks are 55-31 (.640) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Grizzlies have averaged 15.3 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd-highest in the NBA.
The Bucks are 14-25 (.359) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .429
The Bucks are 116-47 (.712) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .656
Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends
The Grizzlies have a TS% of 51% this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Grizzlies are shooting 79% from the free throw line (1,417/1,787) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Grizzlies have an eFG% of 53% this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%
The Grizzlies have averaged 15.2 turnovers per game (1,170 turnovers/77 games) this season — 9th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5
Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks have a TS% of 55% in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%
The Bucks have averaged 11.3 second chance points per game (873 points/77 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0
The Bucks are shooting 51% (400/778) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Bucks are shooting 43% from three (137/320) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%
Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends
The Grizzlies have averaged 33.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,566 rebounds/77 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8
The Grizzlies have allowed 17.8 second chance points per game (1,369 points/77 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.0
The Grizzlies have allowed 9.3 second chance points per game (713 points/77 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.5
The Grizzlies have allowed 10.0 offensive rebounds per game (1,589 rebounds/159 games) in the second half since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.8
Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks have averaged 7.1 steals per game (835 steals/118 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.1
The Bucks have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (8,749 rebounds/241 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1
The Bucks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (300 blocks/77 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Bucks have allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three (611/1,580) at home this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%
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