The Cavaliers are -14.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies

Total (Over/Under): 235.5 points

Watch the game on FDOH | FDSM

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Memphis, TN.

The Cavaliers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-115).

The Cavaliers vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 235.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 29-47 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 36-42 against the spread.

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Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineCleveland Cavaliers-14.5 -115O 235.5 -110-1400Memphis Grizzlies +14.5 -105U 235.5 -110+800

Grizzlies vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Monday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Cavaliers and Grizzlies.

Grizzlies vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

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Cavaliers Best Bets for Tonight:

The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 35 away games (+18.05 Units / 36% ROI)

The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 35 away games (+17.70 Units / 43% ROI)

The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 21 games (+12.45 Units / 53% ROI)

The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.45 Units / 30% ROI)

The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.20 Units / 42% ROI)

Grizzlies Best Bets for Tonight:

The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+17.05 Units / 32% ROI)

The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.95 Units / 31% ROI)

The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 2Q Spread in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+12.65 Units / 24% ROI)

The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+10.65 Units / 68% ROI)

The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.60 Units / 30% ROI)

Cleveland Cavaliers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 29-47 (-22.7 Units / -26.46% ROI).

49-29 against the Moneyline (-17.8 Units / -6.41% ROI)

37-41 against the Over for game total points (-8.1 Units / -9.44% ROI)

41-37 against the Under for game total points (+0.3 Units / 0.35% ROI)

Memphis Grizzlies Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 36-42 (-10.2 Units / -11.89% ROI).

25-53 against the Moneyline (-26.55 Units / -27.53% ROI)

38-39 against the Over for game total points (-4.9 Units / -5.71% ROI)

39-38 against the Under for game total points (-2.8 Units / -3.26% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Grizzlies:

The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 45 games (-22.75 Units / -44% ROI)

The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 12 of their last 50 games (-21.88 Units / -40% ROI)

The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 50 games (-20.55 Units / -36% ROI)

The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 45 games (-18.35 Units / -39% ROI)

The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.40 Units / -29% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Cavaliers:

The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 35 away games (-20.45 Units / -38% ROI)

The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 50 games (-19.40 Units / -22% ROI)

The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 45 away games (-18.75 Units / -36% ROI)

The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 games (-18.40 Units / -32% ROI)

The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 30 games (-14.80 Units / -44% ROI)

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Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Cavaliers are 41-11 (.788) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Cavaliers are 32-7 (.821) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .656

The Cavaliers are 27-9 (.750) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .558

The Cavaliers are 30-14 (.682) when they win the turnover margin this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .593

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Grizzlies are 1-28 (.034) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .216

The Grizzlies are 2-19 (.095) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .301

The Grizzlies are 15-39 (.278) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .459

The Grizzlies are 13-15 (.464) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .558

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 60.7 points per game (9,714 points/160 games) in the second half since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.7

The Cavaliers have averaged 28.3 assists per game (2,207 assists/78 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

The Cavaliers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (1,105 assists/ 554 TOs) in the second half this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Cavaliers have averaged 119.8 points per game (4,671 points/39 games) on the road this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.8

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 18.4 offensive rebounds per game (1,434 rebounds/78 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.9

The Grizzlies are shooting 46% (3,223/7,041) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Grizzlies have averaged 15.2 turnovers per game (1,184 turnovers/78 games) this season — 9th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5

The Grizzlies are shooting 35% from three (557/1,589) at home this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (564 blocks/121 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Cavaliers have averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (5,721 rebounds/160 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Cavaliers have allowed 45.7 points in the paint per game (3,564 points/78 games) this season — 6th best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 49.7

The Cavaliers have allowed 14.4 second chance points per game (1,126 points/78 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.0

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have allowed 17.8 second chance points per game (1,392 points/78 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.0

The Grizzlies have averaged 8.9 steals per game (693 steals/78 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Grizzlies have allowed 18.6 second chance points per game (743 points/40 games) at home this season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.0

The Grizzlies have allowed 9.3 second chance points per game (723 points/78 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.5

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