The Pistons are -2.5 favorites vs. the Magic
Total (Over/Under): 224.5 points
Watch the game on FDFL | FDDT
The Detroit Pistons visit Kia Center to take on the Orlando Magic on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Orlando, FL.
The Pistons are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Pistons vs Magic Over/Under is 224.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 42-36 against the spread, while the Magic are 34-43 against the spread.
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Pistons vs. Magic Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineDetroit Pistons-2.5 -110O 224.5 -105-155Orlando Magic +2.5 -110U 224.5 -115+125
Magic vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Pistons will win Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pistons and Magic.
Magic vs Pistons Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 60.3% confidence.
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Pistons Best Bets for Tonight:
The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2H Moneyline in 21 of their last 25 games (+15.64 Units / 32% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 away games (+13.50 Units / 17% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 away games (+12.35 Units / 11% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have covered the 2H Spread in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.82 Units / 32% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 away games (+10.05 Units / 35% ROI)
Magic Best Bets for Tonight:
The Orlando Magic have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.65 Units / 22% ROI)
The Orlando Magic have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+11.30 Units / 20% ROI)
The Orlando Magic have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+8.75 Units / 17% ROI)
The Orlando Magic have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+8.41 Units / 24% ROI)
The Orlando Magic have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.60 Units / 43% ROI)
Detroit Pistons Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 42-36 (+2.45 Units / 2.86% ROI).
57-21 against the Moneyline (+11.2 Units / 4.43% ROI)
36-41 against the Over for game total points (-9.1 Units / -10.61% ROI)
41-36 against the Under for game total points (+1.4 Units / 1.63% ROI)
Orlando Magic Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Magic have gone 34-43 (-13.35 Units / -15.55% ROI).
42-36 against the Moneyline (-9.65 Units / -5.56% ROI)
43-35 against the Over for game total points (+4.5 Units / 5.24% ROI)
35-43 against the Under for game total points (-12.3 Units / -14.34% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Magic:
The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 35 games at home (-22.10 Units / -29% ROI)
The Orlando Magic have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 19 of their last 50 games (-20.75 Units / -28% ROI)
The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 50 games (-20.40 Units / -35% ROI)
The Orlando Magic have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 50 games (-18.65 Units / -33% ROI)
The Orlando Magic have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 50 games (-16.35 Units / -23% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pistons:
The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.75 Units / -29% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 45 games (-11.25 Units / -21% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 40 games (-11.10 Units / -15% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 50 games (-10.50 Units / -18% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 45 games (-10.30 Units / -20% ROI)
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Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Orlando Magic
The Pistons are 5-1 (.833) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .397
The Pistons are 28-10 (.737) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .459
The Pistons are 1-6 (.143) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .213
The Pistons are 12-3 (.800) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .603
Orlando Magic: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons
The Magic are 20-3 (.870) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .784
The Magic are 21-8 (.724) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .603
The Magic are 28-2 (.933) when their eFG is 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .843
The Magic are 12-7 (.632) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556
Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pistons have averaged 58.4 points in the paint per game (2,276 points/39 games) at home this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.8
The Pistons have averaged 30.4 points in the paint per game (2,344 points/77 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.2
The Pistons have averaged 57.8 points in the paint per game (4,454 points/77 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
The Pistons have 26.2 free throw attempts per game this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.6
Orlando Magic Offensive Stats & Trends
The Magic are shooting 33% from three (1,834/5,557) since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Magic have a 29% free throw rate (6,026 free throw attempts/20,882 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%
The Magic have a 30% free throw rate (3,105 free throw attempts/10,423 field goal attempts) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%
The Magic are shooting 34% from three (2,737/8,125) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pistons have averaged 6.3 blocks per game (486 blocks/77 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Pistons have averaged 10.4 steals per game (798 steals/77 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
The Pistons have allowed a TS% of 49% this season — tied for best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%
The Pistons have blocked 486 shots this season — most among NBA teams
Orlando Magic Defensive Stats & Trends
The Magic have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (8,247 rebounds/242 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1
The Magic have allowed 5.9 second chance points per game (939 points/160 games) in the second half since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.3
The Magic have averaged 5.3 blocks per game (1,271 blocks/242 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Magic have averaged 8.5 steals per game (2,056 steals/242 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
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