NBA Betting Preview: Mavericks vs Suns
The Dallas Mavericks meet the Phoenix Suns in this NBA game. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.
Side With Suns Against the Spread
Our wager is the Suns against the spread. Back the favorites off -10.5 at odds of -110 and be confident they can cover the line against the Mavericks.
7 of Last 10 Matchups Have Been Suns Wins
Dallas Mavericks have suffered a defeat in back-to-back road games including a recent 116-103 loss. This occurred at Intuit Dome against LA Clippers. Cooper Flagg led the way with 25 points, while Marvin Bagley III added 21 and Ryan Nembhard chipped in 12.
Phoenix Suns lost when they last took to the court. At Mortgage Matchup Center, they were turned over 119-105 at home to Houston Rockets. Offensively, Devin Booker led the way, scoring 31, while Mark Williams added 19 and Jalen Green 15.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The Suns triumphed 120-111 when they last played the Mavs. This head-to-head was played at Mortgage Matchup Center. It’s been three victories on the bounce for the Suns when playing the Mavs. On the head-to-head front, they have won 7 of the past 10.
Suns
43
36
0.544
112.8
111.4
1.4
24-16
19-20
10-6
27-22
4-6
1L
Mavericks
25
54
0.316
113.7
119.4
-5.7
15-25
10-29
4-11
14-35
2-8
1L
Dallas Mavericks – Last 10 Games
2 wins and 8 losses in the past 10 games. The Mavs are averaging 117.4 points, 43.1 rebounds, 25.2 assists, 8.8 steals and 4.7 blocks while shooting 45.1% from the field and 78.3% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 127.4 points and 48.2 rebounds per contest.
Cooper Flagg is averaging 26.9 points and 6.8 rebounds, Ryan Nembhard 5.3 assists and Klay Thompson 2.6 (40.0%) 3-pointers.
Phoenix Suns – Last 10 Games
The Suns have won 4 and lost 6 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 115.6 points, 42.3 rebounds, 25.3 assists, 8.8 steals and 5.1 blocks per game while shooting 46.4% from the field and 75.1% from the free-throw line. Their opponents average 111.7 points and 43.3 rebounds.
Devin Booker is averaging 26.2 points and 6.4 assists, while Oso Ighodaro has an average of 6.6 rebounds and Collin Gillespie 2.6 (33.8%) 3-pointers made.
Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Prediction & Picks
Approach Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns fully prepared with our expert match prediction, likely correct score outcome and a hand-picked bet builder designed for value.
Game Prediction
We’re predicting that Suns will be superior in this NBA matchup and that’s why we’re backing them at -10.5 on the spread. Take the -110 that the big favorites are able to cover this line.
The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com stay on top of the latest injuries, while recent form also shapes our basketball picks. We combine this insight with up-to-date NBA stats for sharper predictions.
Key Mavericks vs Suns stats:
The +10.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mavs in 4 of their last 5 games.The +10.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mavs in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.The +10.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mavs in 2 consecutive games on the road.Suns -10.5 Probability
If you go by the top NBA sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of landing a return. However, our cappers research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.
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If you want to land a big potential return from a small stake, then a Bet Builder could be a good way to go. Back the Suns against the spread in a combination with other selections.
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Our Game Prediction
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 8, 02:03). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 02:03, 08 April 2026
Correct Score Prediction
The Suns might be able to claim a win and we’re siding with a 126-111 scoreline in their favor. A small stake can provide a big return and there are tasty odds available.
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Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Suns Big Favorites With the Books
With an estimated 85% chance of winning, the sportsbooks are taking no chances with their -588 betting odds about Phoenix Suns triumphing in this NBA game. The market suggests that Dallas Mavericks are least likely to win at +430.
The current spread is 10.5 and the total points line is 231.5. A wager on the Totals allows basketball bettors to use the latest data to good effect. If you fancy Over 231.5, this outcome can be backed at -105.
You can find hundreds of game lines and team props for every contest, with the top betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.
Betting Lines & Odds
Moneyline
Point Spread
Total Points
Cooper Flagg Favorite to Score the Most Points
Cooper Flagg is favorite when it comes to getting the most points. You can get -118 that he goes Over 25.5 points or the same odds when it comes to Under.
Player Points
Cooper Flagg (Mavericks)
Player Assists
Cooper Flagg (Mavericks)
Player Rebounds
Cooper Flagg (Mavericks)
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Mortgage Matchup Center
Suns Have Taken Five Wins From Last Ten Home Outings
The Suns own a 5-5 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 111.30 points scored and 108.60 points allowed.
The Mavs are 3-7 in their last 10 games away from home, putting up 110.20 points per contest and giving up 120.10.
In their last matchup at Mortgage Matchup Center, the Suns came out on top 120-111 against the Mavs. In the last 10 head-to-head matchups at Mortgage Matchup Center, the Suns have notched six victories, while the Mavs have recorded four.
Phoenix Suns Home Stats
5-5
219.90
111.30
108.60
3
7
Dallas Mavericks Away Stats
3-7
230.30
110.20
120.10
5
5
W-L = Wins-Losses
P = Avg. Points
PF = Avg. Points For
PA = Avg. Points Against
O231.5 = Games Over 231.5 Points
U231.5 = Games Under 231.5 Points
Team Stats
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Dallas Mavericks Stats
Phoenix Suns Stats
2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games
+10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
+10.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road
-10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
-10.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games
Game Totals: An average of 244.80 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 230.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 231.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
Over 231.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 117.40 pts and allowed 127.40 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 110.20 pts and allowed 120.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road
Game Totals: An average of 227.30 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 219.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
Over 231.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
Over 231.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 115.60 pts and allowed 111.70 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 111.30 pts and allowed 108.60 pts in the last 10 home games
Last 10 Games
2-Pointers Made: 30.50 (52%)
3-Pointers Made: 11.00 (33%)
Free Throws Made: 23.40 (78.26%)
Rebounds: Total 43.1, Offensive 11.20, Defensive 31.90
Assists: 25.20
Blocks: 4.70
Steals: 8.80
Turnovers : 12.70
Personal Fouls: 19.40
Last 10 Games on the Road
2-Pointers Made: 29.50 (49%)
3-Pointers Made: 10.70 (33%)
Free Throws Made: 19.10 (79.92%)
Rebounds: Total 47.3, Offensive 12.20, Defensive 35.10
Assists: 25.10
Blocks: 4.80
Steals: 8.00
Turnovers : 12.80
Personal Fouls: 19.50
Last 10 Games
2-Pointers Made: 27.90 (55%)
3-Pointers Made: 14.50 (36%)
Free Throws Made: 16.30 (75.12%)
Rebounds: Total 42.3, Offensive 12.80, Defensive 29.50
Assists: 25.30
Blocks: 5.10
Steals: 8.80
Turnovers : 12.70
Personal Fouls: 20.90
Last 10 Home Games
2-Pointers Made: 23.30 (54%)
3-Pointers Made: 15.70 (36%)
Free Throws Made: 17.60 (76.19%)
Rebounds: Total 42, Offensive 13.00, Defensive 29.00
Assists: 23.40
Blocks: 5.20
Steals: 7.70
Turnovers : 11.10
Personal Fouls: 19.60
Starting Lineups
Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.
Expert Analysis by Jordan Williams
NBA Analyst
About the Analyst
Jordan Williams is an NBA Analyst with over 12 years of experience as a basketball odds compiler and betting analyst. Based in Los Angeles, he specialises in NBA market pricing, utilising efficiency-based metrics and first-hand game insight to identify long-term betting value.
NBA Predictions Methodology
Our NBA analysis focuses on efficiency, pace and player performance ratings. We combine player availability, schedule context, lineup data and market movement with metrics such as Offensive Rating (ORTG), Defensive Rating (DRTG), Net Rating and Effective Field Goal Percentage (eFG%) to assess overall team strength, fatigue analysis and find value in high-paced games.
Full Methodology & Data Sources
Where to Bet
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Transparency & Safety
This preview was last updated on Apr 8, 02:03 to reflect the latest team news, injury reports, starting lineups, player rotations, rest and travel factors, key performance metrics and odds movement.
All analysis is produced by professional analysts and reviewed by our Basketball Editorial Betting Panel for accuracy and consistency.
Historical performance for our game predictions is tracked and updated regularly for transparency.
Important: Betting should be treated as entertainment and involves risk. Past results are not indicative of future performance. Only wager what you can afford to lose.
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