The Nuggets are -22.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
Total (Over/Under): 243.5 points
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The Memphis Grizzlies visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00 pm in Denver, CO.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -22.5 (-115).
The Grizzlies vs Nuggets Over/Under is 243.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 36-43 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 42-37 against the spread.
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Grizzlies vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineMemphis Grizzlies+22.5 -105O 243.5 -105+1900Denver Nuggets -22.5 -115U 243.5 -115-10000
Nuggets vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Wednesday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Grizzlies and Nuggets.
Nuggets vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.
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Grizzlies Best Bets for Tonight:
The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.95 Units / 31% ROI)
The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games (+12.00 Units / 26% ROI)
The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 away games (+9.75 Units / 23% ROI)
The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 games (+9.65 Units / 20% ROI)
The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 16 away games (+9.35 Units / 50% ROI)
Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games (+10.55 Units / 7% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.50 Units / 19% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 games (+8.35 Units / 13% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have covered the 2Q Spread in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.10 Units / 31% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+6.90 Units / 9% ROI)
Memphis Grizzlies Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 36-43 (-11.3 Units / -13% ROI).
25-54 against the Moneyline (-27.55 Units / -28.27% ROI)
39-39 against the Over for game total points (-3.9 Units / -4.49% ROI)
39-39 against the Under for game total points (-3.9 Units / -4.49% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 42-37 (+1.3 Units / 1.5% ROI).
51-28 against the Moneyline (+4.15 Units / 1.66% ROI)
49-30 against the Over for game total points (+16.03 Units / 18.45% ROI)
30-49 against the Under for game total points (-23.9 Units / -27.48% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 14 of their last 35 games at home (-16.81 Units / -26% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 35 games at home (-14.70 Units / -25% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2H Spread in 15 of their last 40 games at home (-13.56 Units / -29% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 45 games (-13.05 Units / -13% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 50 games (-13.00 Units / -24% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Grizzlies:
The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 45 games (-22.80 Units / -44% ROI)
The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 12 of their last 50 games (-21.88 Units / -40% ROI)
The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 50 games (-20.55 Units / -36% ROI)
The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 50 games (-18.55 Units / -32% ROI)
The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 40 games (-18.45 Units / -44% ROI)
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Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Grizzlies are 6-73 (.076) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223
The Grizzlies are 1-29 (.033) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .215
The Grizzlies are 7-26 (.212) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444
The Grizzlies are 3-13 (.188) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .386
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies
The Nuggets are 12-6 (.667) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .603
The Nuggets are 35-5 (.875) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .785
The Nuggets are 19-14 (.576) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .460
The Nuggets are 85-17 (.833) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th-best in the NBA. The Grizzlies have allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-5th-worst in the NBA.
Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends
The Grizzlies have an eFG% of 54% this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%
The Grizzlies have averaged 1.27 points per shot (9,082 points/7,135 shots) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30
The Grizzlies are shooting 46% (3,268/7,135) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Grizzlies have an eFG% of 53% since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (1,114 assists/ 490 TOs) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Nuggets are shooting 41% from three (543/1,342) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.4 (1,155 assists/ 484 TOs) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9
The Nuggets are shooting 49% (3,420/6,913) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends
The Grizzlies have allowed 9.2 second chance points per game (730 points/79 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.5
The Grizzlies have allowed 17.9 second chance points per game (1,413 points/79 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.0
The Grizzlies have allowed 18.6 second chance points per game (764 points/41 games) at home this season — tied for highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.0
The Grizzlies have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,615 rebounds/79 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,914 rebounds/79 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8
The Nuggets have averaged 6.8 steals per game (540 steals/79 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
The Nuggets have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (8,891 rebounds/243 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1
The Nuggets have forced 11.8 turnovers per game (461 turnovers/39 games) at home this season — lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.6
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