Andrew Caley - Senior Betting Analyst at Covers.com

Andrew Caley
• Senior Betting Analyst

14+ years betting experience

Updated:
Apr 8, 2026 , 02:58 PM ET

• 4 min read

Andrew Caley’s NBA predictions think the Clippers are being a little overrated after racking up wins against some lesser opponents, making it a great time to back the best team in the NBA.

Photo By – Reuters Connect. Oklahoma City’s Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Chet Holmgren celebrate a basket in NBA action.

Stop me if you’ve heard this before.  The Oklahoma City Thunder are on a winning streak. The latest is six games as they head out to Los Angeles to take on the Clippers.

Now, L.A. is arguably playing its best ball of the season, but it may be a façade, and my Thunder vs. Clippers predictions explain why it may just be giving us value with a dominant OKC squad.

That and more NBA picks for this Western Conference clash set to tip off at 10 pm ET at the Intuit Dome in Inglewood, on Wednesday, April 8. 

Thunder vs Clippers prediction
Thunder vs Clippers best bet: Thunder -7 (-110)

I’m not sure we’re properly appreciating how impressive the Oklahoma City Thunder have been for the better part of three seasons now.

They enter tonight’s matchup with the Los Angeles Clippers already with 63 wins and a net rating more than three points higher than the team in second (the Spurs).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is still leading the NBA MVP odds, and his 20-point streak is still going strong. The Thunder are also still the best defensive team in the NBA and have ridiculous depth.

Yet, they’re just 7-point road favorites tonight against the Clippers.

Now, L.A. (more specifically, Kawhi Leonard) is fully healthy. That’s helped the Clippers win seven of their last nine games and are ninth in net rating since the All-Star break.

But a deeper dive into their recent opponents, and who’s their most impressive victory against? The Raptors? It hasn’t exactly been tough competition lately, and they’re not even covering spreads against these poor teams.

The Clippers are 4-4-1 ATS during the last nine games, and are 5-8-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall.

The Clippers are a good team, but not good enough to cover as 7-point underdogs in this matchup against one of the better teams we’ve seen in recent NBA history.

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The Clippers are hurting for depth at center behind Brook Lopez. John Collins is their only other real “big man” at the moment, so it’s no surprise that they rank 25th in points allowed per game to opposing centers.

That has me thinking Chet Holmgren will be a tough matchup for them tonight. Holmgren has a juicy points prop sitting at 14.5. He averages 16.9 per game this season and has topped this number in seven of his last 11 games overall.

The ball in Holmgren’s hands should also mean more assists, so let’s take a shot at the Over 1.5 as well.

Thunder vs Clippers SGP

Thunder -7
Chet Holmgren Over 14.5 points
Chet Holmgren Over 1.5 assists

Our “from downtown” SGP: Make it rain!

The Thunder and Clippers rank 22nd and 23rd in opponent 3-point shooting percentage. 

Thunder vs Clippers SGP

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 1.5 threes
Lou Dort Over 1.5 threes
Kawhi Leonard Over 2.5 threes
Darius Garland Over 2.5 threes

Thunder vs Clippers odds

Spread: Thunder -7 | Clippers +7
Moneyline: Thunder -270 | Clippers +220
Over/Under: Over 227.5 | Under 227.5

Thunder vs Clippers betting trend to know

The Thunder have covered the first-quarter spread in 22 of their last 30 away games for +12.75 units and a 37% ROI. Find more NBA betting trends for Thunder vs. Clippers.

How to watch Thunder vs Clippers

Location
Intuit Dome, Inglewood, CA

Date
Wednesday, April 8, 2026

Tip-off
10:00 p.m. ET

TV
FDSN Oklahoma, FDSN Southern California

Thunder vs Clippers latest injuries

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