The Knicks are -6.5 favorites vs. the Raptors
Total (Over/Under): 219.5 points
Watch the game on TSN | MSG
The Toronto Raptors visit Madison Square Garden to take on the New York Knicks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm in New York, NY.
The Knicks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Raptors vs Knicks Over/Under is 219.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Raptors are 41-38 against the spread, while the Knicks are 41-38 against the spread.
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Raptors vs. Knicks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineToronto Raptors+6.5 -110O 219.5 -110+225New York Knicks -6.5 -110U 219.5 -110-275
Knicks vs Raptors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Knicks will win Friday‘s game with 66.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Raptors and Knicks.
Knicks vs Raptors Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Raptors will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 63.9% confidence.
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Raptors Best Bets for Tonight:
The Toronto Raptors have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 away games (+11.10 Units / 34% ROI)
The Toronto Raptors have covered the 1Q Spread in 29 of their last 45 games (+10.50 Units / 20% ROI)
The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 away games (+10.10 Units / 22% ROI)
The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games (+9.25 Units / 14% ROI)
The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.75 Units / 60% ROI)
Knicks Best Bets for Tonight:
The New York Knicks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 50 games (+19.00 Units / 26% ROI)
The New York Knicks have covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.25 Units / 23% ROI)
The New York Knicks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games (+12.65 Units / 24% ROI)
The New York Knicks have covered the Spread in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+11.70 Units / 27% ROI)
The New York Knicks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+10.00 Units / 22% ROI)
Toronto Raptors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 41-38 (-0.8 Units / -0.91% ROI).
45-35 against the Moneyline (+2.35 Units / 1.43% ROI)
32-48 against the Over for game total points (-20.8 Units / -23.64% ROI)
48-32 against the Under for game total points (+12.8 Units / 14.55% ROI)
New York Knicks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Knicks have gone 41-38 (-0.8 Units / -0.91% ROI).
52-28 against the Moneyline (+4.1 Units / 1.43% ROI)
37-43 against the Over for game total points (-10.3 Units / -11.7% ROI)
43-37 against the Under for game total points (+2.3 Units / 2.61% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Knicks:
The New York Knicks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 50 games (-35.25 Units / -27% ROI)
The New York Knicks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 50 games (-21.35 Units / -23% ROI)
The New York Knicks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 45 games (-19.25 Units / -37% ROI)
The New York Knicks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 50 games (-18.40 Units / -22% ROI)
The New York Knicks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 18 of their last 50 games (-17.85 Units / -31% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Raptors:
The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-17.35 Units / -30% ROI)
The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 30 games (-16.95 Units / -29% ROI)
The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 40 away games (-14.60 Units / -33% ROI)
The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.40 Units / -25% ROI)
The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 2 of their last 13 games (-10.90 Units / -71% ROI)
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Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Knicks
The Raptors are 3-16 (.158) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .212
The Raptors are 15-4 (.789) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .627
The Raptors are 23-8 (.742) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604
The Raptors are 27-10 (.730) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .539
New York Knicks: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors
The Knicks are 49-14 (.778) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .599
The Knicks are undefeated (16-0) when their opponents turns the ball over 20 or more times since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .636
The Knicks are 73-13 (.849) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Raptors have allowed opponents to shoot 47% since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-9th-worst in the NBA.
The Knicks are 37-15 (.712) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .657
Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Raptors have averaged 30.1 assists per game (1,204 assists/40 games) on the road this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.5
The Raptors have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (2,357 assists/ 1,093 TOs) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Raptors have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,147 assists/ 549 TOs) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Raptors have averaged 18.5 fast break points per game (4,517 points/244 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0
New York Knicks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Knicks have averaged 116.8 points per game (9,341 points/80 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.6
The Knicks have averaged 18.7 offensive rebounds per game (1,493 rebounds/80 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.8
The Knicks have 21.4 free throw attempts per game this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5
The Knicks have averaged 47.7 points in the paint per game (3,816 points/80 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.8
Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Raptors have averaged 33.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,687 rebounds/80 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8
The Raptors have 706 steals this season — 9th most among NBA teams
The Raptors have averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (8,303 rebounds/244 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1
The Raptors have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (1,122 blocks/244 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
New York Knicks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Knicks have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (480 blocks/120 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Knicks have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (643 blocks/162 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Knicks have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (979 blocks/244 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Knicks have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (499 blocks/124 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
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