Pelicans vs Celtics Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props

Celtics vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Friday‘s game with 79.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Celtics.

Celtics vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 69.7% confidence.

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Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:

The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 games (+13.30 Units / 27% ROI)

The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 3Q Spread in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.30 Units / 44% ROI)

The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1Q Spread in 16 of their last 23 away games (+7.90 Units / 30% ROI)

The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 away games (+7.35 Units / 18% ROI)

The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 23 games (+7.30 Units / 29% ROI)

Celtics Best Bets for Tonight:

The Boston Celtics have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 50 games (+18.50 Units / 34% ROI)

The Boston Celtics have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 40 games (+12.95 Units / 8% ROI)

The Boston Celtics have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games (+12.75 Units / 25% ROI)

The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games (+12.75 Units / 10% ROI)

The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.10 Units / 19% ROI)

New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 45-34 (+7.6 Units / 8.64% ROI).

26-54 against the Moneyline (-19.5 Units / -19.37% ROI)

39-41 against the Over for game total points (-6.1 Units / -6.93% ROI)

41-39 against the Under for game total points (-1.9 Units / -2.16% ROI)

Boston Celtics Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 47-33 (+10.7 Units / 12.16% ROI).

54-26 against the Moneyline (+4.3 Units / 1.61% ROI)

29-51 against the Over for game total points (-27.1 Units / -30.8% ROI)

51-29 against the Under for game total points (+19.1 Units / 21.7% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Celtics:

The Boston Celtics have only hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 50 games (-23.50 Units / -43% ROI)

The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 45 games (-20.04 Units / -38% ROI)

The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.70 Units / -29% ROI)

The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 45 games at home (-15.75 Units / -30% ROI)

The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 24 of their last 45 games at home (-15.58 Units / -16% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:

The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 4Q Spread in 17 of their last 50 games (-21.90 Units / -38% ROI)

The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 40 away games (-16.55 Units / -35% ROI)

The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 50 games (-14.90 Units / -26% ROI)

The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 50 games (-12.45 Units / -21% ROI)

The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 45 games (-11.70 Units / -24% ROI)

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New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Pelicans are 1-19 (.050) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .300

The Pelicans are 15-50 (.231) when allowing 110 or more points this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .351

The Pelicans are 1-13 (.071) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .396

The Pelicans are 3-30 (.091) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Celtics are 47-13 (.783) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .443

The Celtics are 57-12 (.826) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .619

The Celtics are 155-61 (.718) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .493

The Celtics are undefeated (20-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .784

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 60.9 points in the paint per game (2,496 points/41 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.9

The Pelicans are shooting 34% from three (441/1,315) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Pelicans have averaged 57.5 points in the paint per game (4,600 points/80 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.8

The Pelicans have averaged 29.7 points in the paint per game (2,374 points/80 games) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.2

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 16.4 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

The Celtics have averaged 12.0 turnovers per game (2,935 turnovers/244 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Celtics have made 16.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

The Celtics have averaged 12.1 turnovers per game (1,956 turnovers/162 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 34.4 defensive rebounds per game (8,404 rebounds/244 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Pelicans have 711 steals this season — 8th most among NBA teams

The Pelicans have blocked 417 shots this season — 9th most among NBA teams

The Pelicans have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (417 blocks/80 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 6.8 steals per game (824 steals/121 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Celtics have averaged 6.7 steals per game (538 steals/80 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Celtics have averaged 7.1 steals per game (566 steals/80 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Celtics have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,910 rebounds/80 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8