The Rockets are -13.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
Watch the game on SCHN | FDSM
The Memphis Grizzlies visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 pm in Houston, TX.
The Rockets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).
The Grizzlies vs Rockets Over/Under is 225.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 37-44 against the spread, while the Rockets are 35-46 against the spread.
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Grizzlies vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineMemphis Grizzlies+13.5 -110O 225.5 -115+575Houston Rockets -13.5 -110U 225.5 -105-900
Rockets vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Sunday‘s game with 70.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Grizzlies and Rockets.
Rockets vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 65.3% confidence.
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Grizzlies Best Bets for Tonight:
The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.85 Units / 31% ROI)
The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 22 away games (+14.15 Units / 63% ROI)
The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 35 games (+13.45 Units / 33% ROI)
The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.08 Units / 27% ROI)
The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 50 games (+10.25 Units / 19% ROI)
Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:
The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 30 games (+13.05 Units / 24% ROI)
The Houston Rockets have covered the 2Q Spread in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.45 Units / 30% ROI)
The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+9.95 Units / 34% ROI)
The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 16 games at home (+9.90 Units / 20% ROI)
The Houston Rockets have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.80 Units / 25% ROI)
Memphis Grizzlies Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 37-44 (-11.4 Units / -12.79% ROI).
25-56 against the Moneyline (-29.55 Units / -29.71% ROI)
40-39 against the Over for game total points (-2.9 Units / -3.25% ROI)
39-40 against the Under for game total points (-5 Units / -5.61% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 35-46 (-15.55 Units / -17.46% ROI).
51-30 against the Moneyline (-23.85 Units / -7.82% ROI)
37-43 against the Over for game total points (-10.27 Units / -11.53% ROI)
43-37 against the Under for game total points (+2.3 Units / 2.58% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:
The Houston Rockets have only covered the 1Q Spread in 17 of their last 50 games (-21.35 Units / -37% ROI)
The Houston Rockets have only covered the Spread in 17 of their last 50 games (-19.30 Units / -35% ROI)
The Houston Rockets have only covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 50 games (-16.85 Units / -29% ROI)
The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games (-16.35 Units / -9% ROI)
The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 50 games (-15.45 Units / -17% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Grizzlies:
The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 50 games (-25.88 Units / -48% ROI)
The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 50 games (-24.55 Units / -44% ROI)
The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 45 games (-22.75 Units / -44% ROI)
The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 50 games (-22.00 Units / -41% ROI)
The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 2H Spread in 15 of their last 45 games (-19.66 Units / -38% ROI)
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Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Grizzlies are 2-24 (.077) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .212
The Grizzlies are 13-15 (.464) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .559
The Grizzlies are 10-28 (.263) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .427
The Grizzlies are 36-102 (.261) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th-worst in the NBA. The Rockets have averaged 56.7 rebounds/game since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest in the NBA.
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies
The Rockets are 7-1 (.875) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .398
The Rockets are 30-12 (.714) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .459
The Rockets are winless (0-3) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .212
The Rockets are 52-17 (.754) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Grizzlies have allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-5th-worst in the NBA.
Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends
The Grizzlies have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (2,261 assists/ 1,223 TOs) this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Grizzlies have averaged 56.4 points per game (4,566 points/81 games) in the second half this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.9
The Grizzlies have averaged 27.9 assists per game (2,261 assists/81 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7
The Grizzlies have averaged 27.6 assists per game (1,103 assists/40 games) on the road this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.5
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have averaged 20.8 offensive rebounds per game (5,094 rebounds/245 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0
The Rockets have averaged 22.0 offensive rebounds per game (1,783 rebounds/81 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.8
The Rockets have averaged 22.3 offensive rebounds per game (3,627 rebounds/163 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.4
The Rockets have averaged 16.8 second chance points per game (4,107 points/245 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3
Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends
The Grizzlies have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,684 rebounds/81 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8
The Grizzlies have allowed 17.9 second chance points per game (1,449 points/81 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.0
The Grizzlies have allowed 9.3 second chance points per game (751 points/81 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.5
The Grizzlies have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (1,350 blocks/245 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (466 blocks/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Rockets have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (465 blocks/81 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Rockets have blocked 465 shots this season — 2nd most among NBA teams
The Rockets have averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (8,798 rebounds/245 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1
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