NBA Playoffs Betting Preview: Wolves vs Nuggets
The No. 6 seed Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33, 23-18 away) face the No. 3 Denver Nuggets (54-28, 28-13 at home) in Game 2 of this first-round NBA Playoffs series. Denver leads the series 1-0.
Should We Go Over or Under the Total?
Over 231.5 points seems like a realistic outcome when the Wolves go up against the Nuggets. We’re taking odds of -110 on the basis that the total line is too low.
Nuggets Made It 13 Straight
The Denver Nuggets took Game 1 on Saturday with a 116-105 win over the Minnesota Timberwolves at Ball Arena, marking their 13th straight victory.
Nikola Jokic delivered a strong performance for the Nuggets, recording a triple-double with 25 points, 13 rebounds and 11 assists. Anthony Edwards led the Wolves with 22 points, while Rudy Gobert added 17 points and 10 rebounds, and Jaden McDaniels chipped in 16.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The Wolves have won six of the last 10 meetings between these teams.
Nuggets
54
28
0.659
122.1
116.9
5.2
28-13
26-15
11-5
36-16
10-0
12W
Timberwolves
49
33
0.598
118
114.6
3.4
26-15
23-18
9-7
31-21
5-5
2W
Minnesota Timberwolves – Last 10 Games
4 wins and 6 losses in the past 10 games. The Wolves are averaging 114.7 points, 39.8 rebounds, 24.7 assists, 8.5 steals and 6.0 blocks while shooting 46.8% from the field and 75.7% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 116.3 points and 47.2 rebounds per contest.
Julius Randle is averaging 14.4 points, Rudy Gobert 7.7 rebounds and Kyle Anderson 3.0 assists, while Donte DiVincenzo averages 3.1 (36.9%) 3-pointers made.
Denver Nuggets – Last 10 Games
The Nuggets have won all of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 130.3 points, 48.3 rebounds, 31.8 assists, 6.8 steals and 4.2 blocks per game while shooting 50.5% from the field and 84.1% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 118.9 points and 43.1 rebounds.
Nikola Jokic is averaging 23.3 points, 12.7 rebounds and 9.9 assists, while Jamal Murray has an average of 3.7 (48.7%) 3-pointers made.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Picks
Get the full betting picture for Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets, including a key match prediction, our best correct score selection, top player prop picks and a ready-made bet builder.
Game Prediction
We’re expecting Over 231.5 points to be scored by the two teams combined. There’s an attractive -110 for our pick and we’re anticipating that the scoreboard will tick over in this NBA game.
We only publish our basketball predictions once we’ve got a clear and confident read on team news and the latest NBA form. We also stay sharp by digging into the most valuable stats to support every pick we make.
Key Timberwolves vs Nuggets stats:
The 231.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Wolves games.The 231.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Nuggets games.The 231.5 line has been covered in 16 of the last 20 Nuggets games.Over 231.5 Probability
According to the best NBA sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of delivering a return. However, our cappers think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we regard this as a value bet.
Looking for Bigger Odds?
Secure more desirable odds by moving the line when you place an Over bet. You can choose from a range of options on the Totals until you’re happy with your wager.
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Our Game Prediction
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Published 00:02, 20 April 2026
Player Prop Picks
Cameron Johnson (Nuggets) has covered the 11.5 points total in 5 straight games. We think this is the pick of the prop bets, with odds of -109 available when it comes to backing him on Player Points.
Latest Cameron Johnson Player Prop Odds
Aaron Gordon (Nuggets) has racked up Over 2.5 assists in 4 straight games. He therefore looks capable of covering the line when it comes our Player Assists bet, with odds of -108 available.
Latest Aaron Gordon Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Correct Score Prediction
If you want to achieve a big return from your stake, then it’s worth checking out the correct score lines. The Nuggets to claim a 124-113 victory is available at huge odds.
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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Books Make Nuggets Likelier Winners
With the sportsbooks giving them a 72% probability of winning this NBA game, Denver Nuggets might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -263 Moneyline betting odds. Minnesota Timberwolves are the underdogs at +215 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.
There is a spread of 6.5 and total points has a line of 231.5. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball wagers. If you fancy Over 231.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.
Whether you are betting pre-game or in-game, the top basketball sportsbooks offer a huge selection of team props and game lines. The options are practically endless, and it’s awesome to have so many alternatives.
Betting Lines & Odds
Moneyline
Point Spread
Total Points
Nikola Jokic Favorite to Score the Most Baskets
In terms of hitting the most buckets, favorite Nikola Jokic is available at -109 to rack up Over 28.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -125 is available.
Player Points
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
Jamal Murray (Nuggets)
Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)
Julius Randle (Timberwolves)
Player Assists
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
Jamal Murray (Nuggets)
Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)
Julius Randle (Timberwolves)
Player Rebounds
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves)
Julius Randle (Timberwolves)
Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Ball Arena
Will Nuggets Extend Their Home Winning Streak?
The Nuggets own a 10-0 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 129.40 points on offense and surrendering 118.10 on defense.
The Wolves have five wins and five losses in the last 10 road games, putting up 115.20 points per matchup and giving up 113.10.
The Nuggets beat the Wolves 116-105 when they last met at Ball Arena. Over the last 10 head-to-head meetings at Ball Arena, the Wolves have claimed six wins compared to the Nuggets who have four.
Denver Nuggets Home Stats
10-0
247.50
129.40
118.10
8
2
Minnesota Timberwolves Away Stats
5-5
228.30
115.20
113.10
3
7
W-L = Wins-Losses
P = Avg. Points
PF = Avg. Points For
PA = Avg. Points Against
O231.5 = Games Over 231.5 Points
U231.5 = Games Under 231.5 Points
Team Stats
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Minnesota Timberwolves Stats
Denver Nuggets Stats
4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 games
10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 home games
+6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
+6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road
-6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
-6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games
Game Totals: An average of 231.00 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 228.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 231.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
Over 231.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 114.70 pts and allowed 116.30 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 115.20 pts and allowed 113.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road
Game Totals: An average of 249.20 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 247.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
Over 231.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
Over 231.5 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 130.30 pts and allowed 118.90 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 129.40 pts and allowed 118.10 pts in the last 10 home games
Last 10 Games
2-Pointers Made: 28.40 (55%)
3-Pointers Made: 13.50 (35%)
Free Throws Made: 17.40 (75.65%)
Rebounds: Total 39.8, Offensive 9.50, Defensive 30.30
Assists: 24.70
Blocks: 6.00
Steals: 8.50
Turnovers : 13.20
Personal Fouls: 21.40
Last 10 Games on the Road
2-Pointers Made: 28.90 (55%)
3-Pointers Made: 14.10 (39%)
Free Throws Made: 15.10 (77.84%)
Rebounds: Total 42.1, Offensive 8.80, Defensive 33.30
Assists: 24.00
Blocks: 5.60
Steals: 8.20
Turnovers : 14.20
Personal Fouls: 21.00
Last 10 Games
2-Pointers Made: 31.10 (58%)
3-Pointers Made: 16.00 (41%)
Free Throws Made: 20.10 (84.1%)
Rebounds: Total 48.3, Offensive 10.90, Defensive 37.40
Assists: 31.80
Blocks: 4.20
Steals: 6.80
Turnovers : 11.60
Personal Fouls: 19.10
Last 10 Home Games
2-Pointers Made: 30.50 (60%)
3-Pointers Made: 16.50 (41%)
Free Throws Made: 18.90 (84.38%)
Rebounds: Total 45.2, Offensive 9.20, Defensive 36.00
Assists: 32.10
Blocks: 3.80
Steals: 6.60
Turnovers : 11.40
Personal Fouls: 19.60
Starting Lineups
Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.
Expert Analysis by Kyrone Jones
NBA Analyst
About the Analyst
Our basketball previews are produced by a specialised team of analysts, former odds compilers and sports journalists. Picks are research-driven and reviewed for accuracy and editorial consistency under the oversight of our basketball panel and Editor-in-Chief.
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Full Methodology & Data Sources
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This preview was last updated on Apr 20, 00:02 to reflect the latest team news, injury reports, starting lineups, player rotations, rest and travel factors, key performance metrics and odds movement.
All analysis is produced by professional analysts and reviewed by our Basketball Editorial Betting Panel for accuracy and consistency.
Historical performance for our game predictions is tracked and updated regularly for transparency.
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