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A pivotal Game 5 takes place at Frost Bank Center tonight between the Minnesota Timberwolves and San Antonio Spurs tonight.
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Our NBA player prop projections have you covered for all the action, with two five-star plays!
If you’re looking for more NBA picks, look no further than our Timberwolves vs. Spurs predictions for May 12.
Timberwolves vs Spurs computer picks for Game 5
Timberwolves
Spurs
Gobert o7.5 points
-120
Champagnie o8.5 points
+100
Dosunmu o12.5 points
-112
Fox o17.5 points
-112
Reid o11.5 points
+100
Castle o4.5 rebounds
-155
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Timberwolves Game 5 computer picksRudy Gobert Over 7.5 points (-120)
Projection: 9.75 points
This is one of two five-star plays our model found for this game, showing an EV edge of 23.91%. Rudy Gobert has scored 10+ points in back-to-back outings, playing 30+ minutes in each.
He should see a similar workload tonight with Wemby back after his ejection.
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Ayo Dosunmu Over 12.5 points (-112)
Projection: 14.78 points
Ayo Dosunmu has become a pivotal part of the Minnesota Timberwolves’ rotation, even drawing the start in Game 4. Our projections see him turning up the heat after three underwhelming performances.
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Naz Reid Over 11.5 points (+100)
Projection: 13.51 points
Naz Reid provides a perfect scoring punch for the Wolves off the bench. He’s eclipsed this total in six of his last seven games, finishing with exactly 11 in the other outing.
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Spurs Game 5 computer picksJulian Champagnie Over 8.5 points (+100)
Projection: 10.54 points
This is the second five-star play for tonight’s game, sitting with an EV edge of 24.32%.
Before two mediocre outings, Julian Champagnie was going to work. With Wembanyama expected to play the full game, it’ll open up more catch-and-shoot opportunities for Champagnie — who is hitting threes at a 49% clip in the playoffs.
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De’Aaron Fox Over 17.5 points (-112)
Projection: 19.73 points
De’Aaron Fox plays a pivotal part in the San Antonio Spurs’ success, and they’ll need him to be at his best tonight. He just scored 24 points in Game 4, and he’s on track to play after going through the afternoon shootaround.
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Stephon Castle Over 4.5 rebounds (-155)
Projection: 6.17 rebounds
Stephon Castle puts his 6-foot-6 frame to good use, averaging 4.3 rebounds per game in the playoffs. He’s eclipsed this line in two of four games against Minnesota, finishing with exactly four in the other two.
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How to watch Timberwolves vs Spurs Game 5
Location
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX
Date
Tuesday, May 12, 2026
Tip-off
8 p.m. ET
TV
NBC/Peacock
Not intended for use in MA.
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