The Golden State Warriors visit the Houston Rockets in an attempt to avoid blowing a 3-1 lead in their first-round NBA Playoff series Sunday. Tip-off from Toyota Center is set for 8:30 p.m. ET (TNT/TRU/Max). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Warriors vs. Rockets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Regular-season series: Golden State won 3-2

Houston picked up its second-straight win 115-107 in Friday’s Game 6 while covering as a 5.5-point underdog as the Over (208.5) hit. G Fred VanVleet had yet another stellar game Friday as he put up 29 points on 7-of-13 shooting, including 6 threes, The Rockets forced 17 turnovers in the win.

The Warriors’ offense struggled outside of the duo of guards Steph Curry and Jimmy Butler III, who combined for 56 of the Warriors points. No other Warriors starter scored in double figures Friday.

The Warriors are 6-5 in Game 7s in NBA playoff history while the Rockets are 7-5 in Game 7s. 

Warriors at Rockets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:54 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Warriors +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Rockets -140 (bet $140 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Warriors +2.5 (-110) | Rockets -2.5 (-110)Over/Under (O/U): 204.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Warriors at Rockets key injuries

Warriors

G Stephen Curry (thumb) availableF/G Gary Payton II (thumb) available

Rockets

C Jock Landale (knee) outF Jae’Sean Tate (ankle) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Warriors at Rockets picks and predictionsPrediction

Warriors 103, Rockets 97

PASS.

While I like Golden State’s odds to cover here as a +115 underdog, I feel more comfotable with the Warriors’ ATS, especially considering how bad the Dubs have looked in the last 2 games.

WARRIORS +2.5 (-110).

Look for the greatness and experience of this Warriors team to play a huge role in this game against Houston’s youth and inexperience. Expect for Curry and Butler to look like the 2 best players in this series and look for Houston to struggle to find consistent offense. This is a very slight lean as the Warriors have shown nothing promising over the last 2 games and they have struggled to defend the Rockets’ lineup of F/C Steven Adams, C Alperen Sengun, and F Tari Eason in the game.

BET UNDER 204.5 (-115).

The Under has hit in 2 of Golden State’s 3 wins this series. In order for the Warriors to win this game, this defense will have to look like the best in the league, and when that’s combined with Houston’s all-world defense, you have the perfect recipe for the Under to hit here.

Be aware that the Over has hit in the last 3 games of this series.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Access more NBA coverage: HoopsHype | Celtics Wire | Nets Wire | Rockets Wire | Sixers Wire | Thunder Wire | Warriors Wire | LeBron Wire | Rookie Wire | List Wire