The Miami Heat return home from a long road trip to host the Cleveland Cavaliers on Friday night in NBA Cup Group Play.
Miami went 3-2 on its five-game road trip out west, winning its last two contests in Sacramento and Utah. However, the Heat failed to cover the spread in any of those five games.
On the other hand, the Cavaliers are looking to end a three-game road trip with two straight wins. After an upset loss in Charlotte, they upset the Knicks on Wednesday night.
These teams split their four meetings last season, with both teams winning once at home and once on the road.
Let’s take a look at the odds, a player prop, and my prediction for Friday night’s NBA Cup Group Play matchup.
Cavaliers vs. Heat Odds, Spread and Total
Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook
Spread
Cavaliers +2.5 (-115)Heat -2.5 (-105)
Moneyline
Total
236.5 (Over -110/Under -110)Cavaliers vs. Heat How to WatchDate: Friday, Nov. 13Time: 8:00 p.m. Venue: Kaseya CenterHow to Watch (TV): DAZN, WPLGCavaliers record: 6-6Heat record: 5-6Cavaliers vs. Heat Injury ReportsCavaliers Injury ReportKhalifa Diop – OutSam Merrill – OutEvan Mobley – OutNae’Qwan Tomlin – OutErnest Udeh Jr. – OutHeat Injury ReportGiannis Antetokounmpo – ProbableVladislav Goldin – OutPelle Larsson – QuestionableKlay Thompson – QuestionableCavaliers vs. Heat Best NBA Prop Bets
Heat Best NBA Prop Bet
Davion Mitchell OVER 14.5 Points (+100)
It looks like Davion Mitchell may be breaking out this season, or it’s just an extended hot streak. The guard is averaging 16.5 points on 49.6% shooting (40.3% from deep) this season.
Mitchell does have a few higher-scoring games, but no total outliers. He’s recorded 19 or more points in four of 11 games, including Tuesday night in Utah, and has gone OVER 14.5 points in eight of his 11 games this season.
Cleveland is also allowing 28.7 points per game to point guards so far this season.
Cavaliers vs. Heat Prediction and Pick
Miami hasn’t been covering the spread much recently, and now the Heat are favorites in their first game back at home. In fact, the Heat are just 2-9 against the spread this season.
Cleveland pulled off the road upset over the Knicks earlier this week, and also got an easy win in Milwaukee earlier this season.
I’ll take the Cavaliers outright on the road tonight.
Pick: Cavaliers +105
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