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Warriors’ playoff hopes: Steph Curry’s impact

The Warriors’ chances against the Timberwolves depend heavily on Steph Curry’s return to the court.

The No. 6 seed Minnesota Timberwolves and No. 7 seed Golden State Warriors play May 14 in Game 5 of their second-round 2025 NBA playoffs series.

The game is scheduled to begin at 6:30 p.m. MST (9:30 p.m. Eastern time) and can be seen on TNT (stream with Sling TV).

Who will win the NBA playoff game?

Check out these NBA playoffs picks and predictions for the Western Conference semifinal matchup, which the Timberwolves lead, 3-1.

The Timberwolves are an 11.5-point favorite over the Warriors in NBA playoffs odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook. Minnesota is -650 on the moneyline. Golden State is +475. The over/under for the game is set at 203.5 points.

NBA playoffs game picks, predictions, odds: Pacers vs Cavaliers | Knicks vs Celtics | Nuggets vs Thunder | Warriors vs Timberwolves | Betting: Point spreads, moneylines, over/unders

Watch Warriors vs Timberwolves game on Sling TV

ESPN: Timberwolves have a 65.4% chance to beat Warriors in Game 5

The site gives Golden State a 34.6% shot at defeating Minnesota in the fifth game of the NBA playoffs series.

NBA playoffs series schedules, TV channels: Cavaliers vs Pacers | Celtics vs Knicks | Thunder vs Nuggets | Timberwolves vs Warriors | Daily schedule | Second-round matchups

The site’s formula predicts that Minnesota will defeat Golden State in Game 5 of the NBA postseason series.

NBA playoffs series picks, predictions, odds: Pacers vs Cavaliers | Knicks vs Celtics | Nuggets vs Thunder | Warriors vs Timberwolves | NBA championship odds | Game odds | NBA playoff bracket

Dimers: Timberwolves 107, Warriors 97

It writes: “After extensive simulations, our model gives the Warriors a win probability of 19%, while the Timberwolves have a win probability of 81%.”

FanDuel: Timberwolves have a 62.5% win probability vs Warriors in Game 5

It writes: “The Timberwolves have gone 39-42-1 against the spread this season. The Warriors are 41-38-3 against the spread this season. This season, Timberwolves games have hit the over 45 times.”

Basketball Sphere: Bet the Timberwolves to cover vs Warriors in Game 5

It writes: “This series took a completely different turn when Steph Curry suffered his injury, and the Timberwolves have made the most of his absence. We believe they will now do everything they can to close out the series in front of their home fans, not allowing Curry time to recover or for the series to return to San Francisco. Our expectation is that the home team will win this game by a double-digit margin.”

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Reach Jeremy Cluff at jeremy.cluff@arizonarepublic.com. Follow him on X, formerly Twitter @Jeremy_Cluff.

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