The Dallas Mavericks (2-3) and Detroit Pistons (3-2) meet in the NBA’s Mexico City Game Saturday. Tip-off from Mexico City Arena in Mexico City is set for 10 p.m. ET (Peacock). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Mavericks vs. Pistons odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

2024-25 season series: Split 1-1

The Mavericks beat the Indiana Pacers 107-105 at home Wednesday, failing to cover as a 6-point favorite. The Under (229.5) cashed. G Brandon Williams scored a team-high 20 points, while No. 1 overall pick F Cooper Flagg chipped in 15 points on 6-for-11 shooting. The Mavericks have gone 2-1 after losing their first 2 games of the season and are 2-3 against the spread (ATS).

The Pistons throttled the Orlando Magic 135-116 at home Wednesday, covering as a 2-point home underdog. The Over (227.5) hit. Detroit was led by 30 points from G Cade Cunningham, who went 12-for-24 from the field. All 5 starters hit double figures. The Pistons’ offense has been surging, scoring 115 points or more in 3 of their last 4 contests. They are 3-2 ATS on the season.

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Mavericks vs. Pistons odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:48 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mavericks +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | Pistons -300 (bet $300 to win $100)Against the spread: Mavericks +7.5 (-105) | Pistons -7.5 (-115)Over/Under (O/U): 222.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)Mavericks vs. Pistons key injuries

Mavericks

F Anthony Davis (calf) outG Dante Exum (knee) outC Daniel Gafford (ankle) questionableG Kyrie Irving (knee) outC Dereck Lively II (knee) outG D’Angelo Russell (knee) questionable

Pistons

G Jaden Ivey (knee) outG Marcus Sasser (hip) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Mavericks vs. Pistons picks and predictionsPrediction

Pistons 115, Mavericks 105

PASS.

The Pistons (-300), as the far healthier team, should come out on top but are too expensive to consider on the moneyline.

BET PISTONS -7.5 (-115).

The Pistons have been on fire offensively and put up 135 points on 49% shooting in their last contest. Detroit’s defense has stayed solid as well, ranking as the tenth-best unit in the NBA. The Pistons are going against a Mavericks side down 3 starters and potentially 5 contributors.

Dallas already doesn’t have an efficient second unit with its bench players shooting 42.6% from the field, ranking 21st in the league. That could be a major factor with those players getting more minutes Saturday. Without many weapons and against a strong defense, expect Dallas to struggle.

Back PISTONS -7.5 (-115).

BET UNDER 222.5 (-105).

Both teams rank in the top 10 in defensive rating with the Mavericks seventh and the Pistons tenth. Dallas has had some major scoring woes this season as well, tallying 107 or fewer points in 4 of its 5 contests.

While Detroit has been more consistent, it has scored more than 115 points in just 2 of its 5 performances. Considering those trends, back UNDER 222.5 (-105).

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