The Nuggets are -14.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans

Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points

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The Denver Nuggets visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in New Orleans, LA.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).

The Nuggets vs Pelicans Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 9-4 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 7-7 against the spread.

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Nuggets vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineDenver Nuggets-14.5 -110O 233.5 -110-1100New Orleans Pelicans +14.5 -110U 233.5 -110675

Pelicans vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Wednesday‘s game with 74.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:

The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 38 games (+15.40 Units / 28% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 37 of their last 57 games (+15.05 Units / 23% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 29 away games (+14.85 Units / 39% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 80 games (+13.10 Units / 5% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 44 of their last 74 games (+12.40 Units / 8% ROI)

Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:

The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 4Q Spread in 49 of their last 81 games (+13.55 Units / 14% ROI)

The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 61 games (+11.95 Units / 17% ROI)

The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+11.90 Units / 30% ROI)

The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 75 games (+11.00 Units / 13% ROI)

The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 49 of their last 82 games (+10.90 Units / 12% ROI)

Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 9-4 (+4.6 Units / 32.17% ROI).

10-3 against the Moneyline (-0.25 Units / -0.5% ROI)

7-6 against the Over for game total points (+0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI)

6-7 against the Under for game total points (-1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI)

New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 7-7 (-0.7 Units / -4.55% ROI).

2-12 against the Moneyline (-8.45 Units / -58.28% ROI)

8-6 against the Over for game total points (+1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI)

6-8 against the Under for game total points (-2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:

The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 82 games (-32.75 Units / -33% ROI)

The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 82 games (-24.15 Units / -27% ROI)

The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 82 games (-23.75 Units / -25% ROI)

The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 82 games (-23.40 Units / -25% ROI)

The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 82 games (-23.35 Units / -25% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:

The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 96 games (-23.65 Units / -22% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 40 of their last 96 games (-23.45 Units / -21% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 68 games (-21.15 Units / -27% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 68 games (-20.72 Units / -22% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 53 games (-19.50 Units / -25% ROI)

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Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Nuggets averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Nuggets averaged 10.7 points in the paint per game (586 points/55 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5

The Nuggets averaged 58.5 points in the paint per game (4,796 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0

The Nuggets averaged 31.0 points in the paint per game (2,540 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Pelicans have averaged 108.3 points per game (1,516 points/14 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 117.1

The Pelicans have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (317 assists/ 224 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Pelicans have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (147 assists/ 116 TOs) in the second half this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

The Pelicans have averaged 1.19 points per shot (742 points/621 shots) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Nuggets averaged 10.7 points in the paint per game (586 points/55 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5

The Nuggets averaged 58.5 points in the paint per game (4,796 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0

The Nuggets averaged 31.0 points in the paint per game (2,540 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 108.3 points per game (1,516 points/14 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 117.1

The Pelicans have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (317 assists/ 224 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Pelicans have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (147 assists/ 116 TOs) in the second half this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

The Pelicans have averaged 1.19 points per shot (742 points/621 shots) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Nuggets averaged 10.7 points in the paint per game (586 points/55 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5

The Nuggets averaged 58.5 points in the paint per game (4,796 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0

The Nuggets averaged 31.0 points in the paint per game (2,540 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 108.3 points per game (1,516 points/14 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 117.1

The Pelicans have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (317 assists/ 224 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Pelicans have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (147 assists/ 116 TOs) in the second half this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

The Pelicans have averaged 1.19 points per shot (742 points/621 shots) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

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