The Miami Heat (11-6) will try to continue a four-game winning run when hosting the Dallas Mavericks (5-13) on Monday, November 24, 2025 at Kaseya Center. It airs at 7:30 p.m. ET on FDSSUN and KFAA.
The Heat are an 8-point favorite against the Mavericks when the Heat and the Mavericks square off. The game’s over/under is set at 241.5.
Heat vs. Mavericks betting odds
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Monday at 3:29 a.m. ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.
Spread: Miami -8Total: 241.5Moneyline: Miami -323, Dallas +258
Mavericks at Heat odds, spread, & morePredictionPick ATS: Heat (- 8)Pick OU:
Under (241.5)Prediction:
Heat 126 – Mavericks 109MoneylineThe Heat have won four of the five games they were the moneyline favorite this season (80%).Miami has played as a moneyline favorite of -323 or shorter in just one game this season, and won.The Heat have an implied moneyline win probability of 76.4% in this game.The Mavericks have won two, or 18.2%, of the 11 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.Dallas has not won as an underdog of +258 or more on the moneyline this season in four games with those odds or longer.The implied probability of a win by the Mavericks based on the moneyline is 27.9%.Against the spreadThe Heat put up 8.9 more points per game (124.9) than the Mavericks allow (116).Miami has a 9-2 record against the spread and an 8-3 record overall when scoring more than 116 points.Dallas is 2-1 against the spread and 2-1 overall when it scores more than 118.9 points.Miami’s record is 4-0-1 against the spread and 4-1 overall when it gives up fewer than 109.9 points.The Heat are the NBA’s highest-scoring team (124.9 PPG), while the Mavericks rank 15th in points per game allowed (116) in the league.Dallas is the NBA’s 28th-ranked offense (109.9 PPG), while Miami is the 20th-ranked defense (118.9).The Heat have out-scored their opponents by a total of 103 points this season (six points per game on average), and opponents of the Mavericks have out-scored them by 109 more points on the year (6.1 per game).Over/UnderThe average implied total for Miami this season is 121.3 points, 3.7 fewer points than its implied total of 125 points in Monday’s game.So far this season, Miami has totaled more than 125 points in a game eight times.Dallas’ average implied point total on the season (117.8 points) is 0.8 points higher than its implied total in this matchup (117 points).How to watch Heat vs. MavericksGame day: Monday, November 24, 2025Game time: 7:30 p.m. ETLocation: Miami, FloridaArena: Kaseya CenterTV channel: KTVD (Denver, CO)Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo