The Grizzlies are -3.5 favorites vs. the Kings
Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
Watch the game on FDSM | NSCA
The Memphis Grizzlies visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Sacramento, CA.
The Grizzlies are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Grizzlies vs Kings Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 8-12 against the spread, while the Kings are 7-13 against the spread.
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Grizzlies vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineMemphis Grizzlies-3.5 -110O 233.5 -110-155Sacramento Kings +3.5 -110U 233.5 -110125
Kings vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Grizzlies and Kings.
Kings vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 57.7% confidence.
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Grizzlies Best Bets for Tonight:
The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 64 games (+17.00 Units / 23% ROI)
The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 2H Spread in 53 of their last 88 games (+15.14 Units / 15% ROI)
The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 18 away games (+13.75 Units / 67% ROI)
The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 52 games (+11.72 Units / 18% ROI)
The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 27 away games (+10.20 Units / 34% ROI)
Kings Best Bets for Tonight:
The Sacramento Kings have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 58 games (+8.75 Units / 13% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games at home (+7.25 Units / 20% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+6.32 Units / 19% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 53 games (+6.10 Units / 10% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games at home (+5.80 Units / 17% ROI)
Memphis Grizzlies Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 8-12 (-5.2 Units / -23.64% ROI).
8-12 against the Moneyline (-3.4 Units / -14.2% ROI)
7-13 against the Over for game total points (-7.3 Units / -33.18% ROI)
13-7 against the Under for game total points (+5.3 Units / 24.09% ROI)
Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 7-13 (-7.3 Units / -33.18% ROI).
5-15 against the Moneyline (-3.75 Units / -16.97% ROI)
10-10 against the Over for game total points (-1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
10-10 against the Under for game total points (-1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:
The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 82 games (-32.90 Units / -25% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 82 games (-22.35 Units / -24% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 76 games (-21.60 Units / -21% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 60 games (-21.30 Units / -19% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 15 of their last 44 games (-18.65 Units / -36% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Grizzlies:
The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 74 games (-45.60 Units / -40% ROI)
The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 1H Spread in 27 of their last 76 games (-29.55 Units / -34% ROI)
The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 64 games (-27.00 Units / -36% ROI)
The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the Spread in 19 of their last 57 games (-21.70 Units / -35% ROI)
The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 37 away games (-21.45 Units / -46% ROI)
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Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings
The Grizzlies were 7-1 (.875) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .455
The Grizzlies are 3-11 (.214) when allowing 110 or more points this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366
The Grizzlies were undefeated (10-0) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .627
The Grizzlies were 1-6 (.143) when forcing fewer than 5 steals in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385
Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies
The Kings have made 11.1 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.4
The Kings have a TS% of 50% this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Kings have averaged 1.26 points per shot (2,240 points/1,780 shots) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31
The Kings have averaged 13.4 second chance points per game (268 points/20 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3
Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends
The Grizzlies were 7-1 (.875) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .455
The Grizzlies are 3-11 (.214) when allowing 110 or more points this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366
The Grizzlies were undefeated (10-0) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .627
The Grizzlies were 1-6 (.143) when forcing fewer than 5 steals in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385
Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends
The Kings have made 11.1 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.4
The Kings have a TS% of 50% this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Kings have averaged 1.26 points per shot (2,240 points/1,780 shots) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31
The Kings have averaged 13.4 second chance points per game (268 points/20 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3
Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends
The Grizzlies were 7-1 (.875) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .455
The Grizzlies are 3-11 (.214) when allowing 110 or more points this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366
The Grizzlies were undefeated (10-0) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .627
The Grizzlies were 1-6 (.143) when forcing fewer than 5 steals in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385
Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends
The Kings have made 11.1 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.4
The Kings have a TS% of 50% this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Kings have averaged 1.26 points per shot (2,240 points/1,780 shots) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31
The Kings have averaged 13.4 second chance points per game (268 points/20 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3
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