The – are favorites vs. the –
Total (Over/Under): Total points
Watch the game on FSUN | FDD+
The Detroit Pistons visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Miami, FL.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Pistons vs Heat Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 12-7 against the spread, while the Heat are 12-7 against the spread.
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Pistons vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineDetroit Pistons O Miami Heat U
Heat vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pistons and Heat.
Heat vs Pistons Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 63.0% confidence.
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Pistons Best Bets for Tonight:
The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 48 games (+19.90 Units / 27% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 83 games (+17.45 Units / 10% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have covered the 2Q Spread in 39 of their last 60 games (+16.00 Units / 23% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 52 of their last 85 games (+15.05 Units / 15% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have covered the 1H Spread in 41 of their last 65 games (+14.55 Units / 19% ROI)
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 45 of their last 73 games (+27.15 Units / 25% ROI)
The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 49 of their last 78 games (+25.60 Units / 25% ROI)
The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 47 of their last 73 games (+19.25 Units / 23% ROI)
The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 46 of their last 74 games (+16.00 Units / 19% ROI)
The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 37 games (+13.00 Units / 18% ROI)
Detroit Pistons Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 12-7 (+4.3 Units / 20.53% ROI).
15-4 against the Moneyline (+11 Units / 25.06% ROI)
10-9 against the Over for game total points (+0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI)
9-10 against the Under for game total points (-2 Units / -9.57% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 12-7 (+4.3 Units / 20.57% ROI).
13-6 against the Moneyline (+10.2 Units / 33.33% ROI)
10-8 against the Over for game total points (+1.2 Units / 5.74% ROI)
8-10 against the Under for game total points (-3 Units / -14.35% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 25 of their last 70 games (-24.25 Units / -26% ROI)
The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 79 games (-22.43 Units / -22% ROI)
The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 86 games (-21.32 Units / -20% ROI)
The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 69 games (-20.70 Units / -26% ROI)
The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 91 games (-20.58 Units / -20% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pistons:
The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 87 games (-27.20 Units / -27% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 84 games (-25.25 Units / -26% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 85 games (-24.25 Units / -25% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 86 games (-21.10 Units / -21% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 59 games (-17.25 Units / -26% ROI)
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Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Heat have averaged 12.0 fast break points per game (228 points/19 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Heat have averaged 64.4 points per game (1,224 points/19 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.6
The Heat have averaged 122.9 points per game (2,336 points/19 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 116.9
The Heat averaged 45.1 points in the paint per game (1,850 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons
The Pistons have averaged 57.5 points in the paint per game (1,092 points/19 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
The Pistons averaged 10.4 fast break points per game (850 points/82 games) in the first half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Pistons have averaged 16.4 second chance points per game (312 points/19 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.4
The Pistons averaged 18.5 fast break points per game (1,519 points/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5
Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 12.0 fast break points per game (228 points/19 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Heat have averaged 64.4 points per game (1,224 points/19 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.6
The Heat have averaged 122.9 points per game (2,336 points/19 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 116.9
The Heat averaged 45.1 points in the paint per game (1,850 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pistons have averaged 57.5 points in the paint per game (1,092 points/19 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
The Pistons averaged 10.4 fast break points per game (850 points/82 games) in the first half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Pistons have averaged 16.4 second chance points per game (312 points/19 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.4
The Pistons averaged 18.5 fast break points per game (1,519 points/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5
Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 12.0 fast break points per game (228 points/19 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Heat have averaged 64.4 points per game (1,224 points/19 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.6
The Heat have averaged 122.9 points per game (2,336 points/19 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 116.9
The Heat averaged 45.1 points in the paint per game (1,850 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pistons have averaged 57.5 points in the paint per game (1,092 points/19 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
The Pistons averaged 10.4 fast break points per game (850 points/82 games) in the first half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Pistons have averaged 16.4 second chance points per game (312 points/19 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.4
The Pistons averaged 18.5 fast break points per game (1,519 points/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5
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